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The Braves Tomahawk the Astros

Saturday, March 9th, 2013

It wasn’t much of a game as the Braves beat the Astros 14-9.  They had an 11-1 lead after two and a 14-2 lead after three.  Houston kept chipping away at the lead, but there was never any threat of them catching the Braves.

Jordan Lyle got the start for the Astros and was victimized by poor defense and poor command of his pitches.  While he did give up a booming double into the leftcenterfield gap to Reed Johnson followed by a mammoth Freddie Freeman homerun that hit the scoreboad in right center, that should have been the end of the damage.  Chris Carter was an adventure in left field as he yielded to George Springer on a lazy fly ball to left center field.  As they both looked at each other the ball nestled helplessly to the grass for a single.  Dan Uggla only got to first.  Joey Terdoslavich got a bloop double over third and Tyler Pastornicky a seeing eye 2-run single to add to the carnage.  Lyle did not complete the inning, getting only two outs and giving up six runs.

The Braves then ripped Sam Demel in the second.  He walked the first two batters, gave up an RBI single to Dan Uggla and a RBI double to Chris JohnsonEvan Gattis pummelled a ball over the left field fence and the score was 11-1 Braves.

The Astros brought in six pitchers to work the first four innings.  The Braves Jordan Schafer made four of the 12 outs.  John Ely and Ross Seaton worked the last five innings, not allowing the Braves to score another run, but it was too little too late.  Most of the big bats had left the game after the fifth inning.

The Astros got another solid performance from Brandon Barnes.  Brandon singled to lead off the first inning and scored and popped one over the centerfield fence in the third for a solo shot.  He also made a nice sliding catch on a liner hit at him in the fourth inning.  Brandon is fighting for one of the Astros outfield jobs.  Marc Krauss also smacked a 2-run homer in the fifth in the DH slot.  Jose Martinez looks good getting a double and single in his three at bats.  He played third base today and could be a utility option for the Astros.

Game Notes: George Springer went fishing in his two at bats, striking out on pitches far outside of the strike zone.  He also lost a ball in the sun to let it drop for a double and had the miscommunication with Carter…The other dismal performance for the Astros was the defense of Chris Carter.  He looks very non-chalant and unsure of himself as he chases balls in left field.  The American League has a DH.  That is the position where Carter will eventually play…The Astros have a lot of players who can play first base.  Nate Freiman is a big boy who has not really shown the tools to separate himself from the other firstbaseman.  He faild to scoop up a one bouncer from Marwin Gonzalez on a nice stop in the hole, allowing the runner to advance to third and giving Gonzalez an undeserved error…Jake Goebbert made a number of excellent defensive plays out in left field.  Normally a third baseman, he showed a gold glove defense when compared to the work of Chris Carter…William Beckwith played first base in the later innings for the Braves and in this game showed defense isn’t his speciality.  He had a couple balls skip past him down the line for a double that a good firstbaseman would have snagged…Jimmie Paredes booted a ball in right field and struck out on six pitches in his first two at bats.  On his third at bat he flew out to left…Evan Gattis was a triple short of the cycle.  He struck out in his fourth at bat and then was removed from the game.

2013 Hot Stove - Angels

Wednesday, December 19th, 2012

Depending on schedule myworld will run down for the next 30 days the hot stove work of each of the major league teams to see how they look on paper.  By the time we are complete with this myworld will be getting ready for spring training.  Two months away, since it arrives a week earlier this year with the spring training games.

Myworld’s first look will be at the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim.

Overall Assessment: Last year the Angels were big time spenders in the free agent market, acquiring Albert Pujols and C.J. Wilson.  Despite having a salary structure in the top five in baseball they still did not make the playoffs.  They stumbled out of the gate and it wasn’t until they called up rookie phenom Mike Trout that they began playing to their potential.  This year they went out and swooped up Josh Hamilton.  That probably does not make Torii Hunter feel good, since he was told by the Angels they just did not have enough money to put more dollars in their outfield.  Time will tell if the fragile Josh Hamilton will be the answer.

Hot Stove Season: The signing of Josh Hamilton gave them an extra bat.  They traded one of those extra bats Kendrys Morales to Division rival Seattle for Raul Valdes Jason Vargas who will eat innings for them.  This is a team whose weak point is arms.  Valdes looks to fit in the middle of the rotation to eat innings, but myworld guesses the Angels pursuit of another starting pitcher is not done.  Sean Burnett was a nice signing for a lefthanded bullpen spot.  He is not a big guy with a big fastball, but he gets lefthanded hitters out.  Joe Blanton will fill the back end of a rotation until one of their younger starters is ready.  Myworld doesn’t see him working out long term.  Time will tell what Ryan Madson will bring to the bullpen after missing all of last season to injury.  They will be relying on him to be their closer.  The acquistion of Madson allowed them to trade inconsistent but promising fireball Jordan Walden for disappointing Tommy Hanson.  Walden tried to close for the Angels in 2011 but got credit for 10 blown saves.  A lot of ifs in those transactions with Blanton, Madson and Hanson.

Strength:  Their outfield defense and bats look strong.  With Hamilton, Pujols and Trumbo they have a 3-4-5 with the potential to slug 100 homeruns.  Mike Trout could score 150 runs hitting in front of those three.  Their outfield defense should be strong, especially with Peter Bourjos patroling centerfield.  He will have to show the Angels that he can hit and a batting average less than .250 will move Trout back to centerfield.

Weakeness - Starting pitching and third base.  They only have two sure fire starters in Jered Weaver and C.J. Wilson.  Jason Vargas will provide them innings but so did Ervin Santana.  Alberto Callapso appears to be their best option at third.  He is a second baseman.  Myworld would not be shocked if the Angels still don’t go out and find themselves another third baseman.  The catching position lacks any real quality depth if Chris Iannetta goes down.  Overall bench depth looks thin if any one of their position starters goes down for significant time.

Top Position Prospect: C.J. Cron.  It’s not like they need another firstbaseman who can hit a ton.  Fortunately for the Angels he is still a couple years away, but he has 40 homer potential.  He was the Angels top draft pick in 2011 slugging 13 homeruns in his first 34 games.  Last year he hit 27 homeruns in the hitter friedly California League.  The one big concern is he’s already had shoulder and knee surgeries, so health seems to be an issue.

Top Pitching Prospect: We can’t say we are too enamored with their pitching prospects.  They traded most of them in their drive to make the playoffs last year.  Myworld will have to go with Nick Maronde, who had 12 appearances last year in the Angels bullpen and did well (1.50).  He doesn’t have overpowering stuff, but for a lefthander his fastball is above average.  His slider though will be his get them out pitch.

Watch out for: Randall Grichuk.  He was drafted ahead of Mike Trout in the 2009 draft, though they were back to back picks.  Injuries had limited him to 250 or less at bats his first three years but last year he got over 500 at bats, slugging 18 homeruns.  It was done in the hitter friendly California League, but with more at bats his hitting stroke should get better as he improves on his recognition of pitches.

Rookie of the Year Prospect: With the starting pitching so weak we would have to go with Nick Maronde.  He should get enough starts to be considered.

Projected on Paper Finish: Second Place, but a wild card team. Lack of starting pitching puts them short.  Injuries to their position players are a concern.  Myworld does not see a lot of depth to replace those starters with equitable production.

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AL West Minor League Post Season Award Winners

Friday, September 21st, 2012

In 2013 Houston will be part of the AL West so we will include them here.  The Seattle Mariners continue to rebuild and this year it has started to pay off.  They are tied with the Colorado Rockies for the most post season award winners.  Can it compete against the resouces of both the Texas Rangers and the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim?  The Oakland Athletics continue to amaze, winning with young players and minimum budget.  Houston will take awhile before they can compete in this division, but they have some position players who can play.

Houston Astros

It may not be an advantage for Houston to compete in the AL West.  Beside the two hour geographical difference, the Division they are leaving has only the Chicago Cubs to put up the resources of the Los Angeles Angels and Texas Rangers, though the St. Louis Cardinals attendance has been boosting their payroll.  It may take them a few years before they are competetive in this division.  Will fans stay glued past midnight to their televisions when Houston is on a west coast road trip?  Most of their post season awards players are at the lower levels.

Marc Krauss OF AA - The Astros traded their third baseman Chris Johnson for Marc and slugger Bobby Borchering.  Marc will need to hit for a little more power than he has shown (.293, 20, 87) if he is to overcome his defensive issues in left field.  He lacks the speed to cover a lot of ground.

Austin Wates OF AA - A third round pick in 2010 Austin has hit .300 at every level he has played in his three year professional career.  Wates has yet to show any power (.304, 7, 48) and his stolen base success rate was poor (17 for 28).  He does have more speed than Krauss and could make it as a centerfielder, but lacks the rifle to play right.

Jonathan Singleton DH AA - Myworld expected a bigger guy but perhaps his thickness masks his 6′2″ frame.  He has played some outfield to get his bat in the lineup, but his best position is first base.  He hit .284, 21, 79 and drew a lot of walks (88).  One of the hauls for Hunter Pence.

Jose Martinez Utl AA - The fact that his best position is second base and he is four years older than Jose Altuve does not give him much of a future in Houston.  He did show some pop, hitting .304 with 13 homeruns and 75 RBIs.  He was initially signed by the Cardinals out of Venezuela, a country the Astros used to own.

Jason Stoffel RP AA - Jason was acquired from the Giants for Jeff Keppinger, a hitter who feasts on lefthanders.  Jason happens to be righthanded and picked up 27 saves with a 2.33 ERA.  He has yet to get a start in his professional career.

George Springer OF Hi A - George was the Astros 2011 first round pick.  He has the potential to be a five tool player.  George was voted the best defensive outfielder in the California League and hit .316, 22, 82 with 28 stolen bases.  If he wants to continue to hit for a high average he needs to lesson his whiffs (131).

Delino DeShields 2B Low A - Another first rounder, Delino was drafted in 2010.  Like his dad, his forte is the stolen base.  His 101 stolen base season got buried in the back pages of baseball blogs because of Billy Hamilton.  He hit .298, 10, 52 and his 70 walks gave him an OPS of .401.  This was quite an improvement from his .220 average the previous year in the South Atlantic League.

Mike Foltynewicz SP Low A - Mike was another first round pick in 2010, drafted after Delino.  He was 14-4, 3.14 but lacks swing and miss stuff and walks over three hitters per nine innings.  His best bet will be to make it in the back end of the Astros rotation.  In 2010 he was rated as having the best fastball in the system but with improved depth he has now fallen far back in that departement.

Jean Batiste SS rookie - The Dominican had a nice year hitting .321, 6, 36 in the Appalachian League.  Promoted to a full season league he hit .306 in minimal at bats.  He will have to show more patience as he rises up the ladder.  In his two years he has a 14/81 walk to whiff ratio.

Brian Blasik Utl rookie - An undrafted free agent, Brian hit .318, 1, 43.  Those are a lot of RBIs for only one homerun.

Darwin Rivera 3B rookie - A Dominican signing Darwin hit .310, 4, 29.

Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim

The Angels will rarely have a lot to work from with their free agent signings sacrificing draft picks.  They had a nice haul in 2009 with their own free agents departing, Mike Trout being one of five first rounders or supplemental first rounders taken in the draft.  With the current rules obtaining extra first round picks may not be so easy.

A.J. Schugel SP AA - A.J. was converted to pitcher after being a third baseman in high school and junior college.  He is not a high velocity guy but gets outs (6-8, 2,89).

C.J. Cron 1B Hi A - He had some knee issues last year but still hit 13 homeruns in 34 games.  He skipped Low A and went straight to the California League where he hit .293, 27, 127.  Tremendous power without the strikeouts.

Taylor Lindsay 2B Hi A - The Angels also had five first round or supplemental picks in 2010 and Taylor was one of those supplementals.  After hitting .362 last year in rookie ball he also skipped Low A and went straight to the California League hitting .289, 9, 58.

Wade Hinkle 1B rookie - The late 2012 pick (27) impressed with his .338, 15, 57 and 1.029 OPS.  He is only 6′0″ so he is not a big slugger but at 225 he carries some weight.

Wendell Soto SS rookie - A slow developing third round 2010 pick may have put himself on the prospect map with his .329, 4, 37 season.  Prior to that his career average was below .250.

Joel Capote OF rookie - Another late 2012 pick (28) who shined in rookie ball hitting .335, 4, 33.  He had more walks than stolen bases (35/33) but still needs to work on the stolen base (8 for 18).

Mike Snyder DH rookie - A late 2012 pick hit .332, 8, 59.  He played third base for Orem.

Gabriel Perez SP rookie - Not big in the international market, Gabriel saw his first games in the States after toiling in the Dominican Summer League for three years.  He went 8-1, 5.06 with a big offense hitting behind him to score him runs.  He was not overpowering, giving up as many hits (80) as innings pitched (80)

Oakland Athletics

The Athletics built up their minor league system by trading a number of veteran players and are still making a play for one of the wild card spots.  The future looks bright for the Athletics.  Despite their improved minor league system not a lot of respect in the all star voting except at the lower levels.

Dan Straily SP AA - Add in his 21 major league strikeouts and Dan has a 200 plus strikeout season.  He showed excellent control in AA and AAA.  Despite a strikeout rate of more than one per inning for his first three years in the minor leagues he did not make any prospect list.

Addison Russell SS rookie - The first round 2012 pick hit over .300 at all three levels, ending at Low A.  He hit .415, 6, 29 to get the Arizona post season league accolades.  Overall he hit .369 in 217 at bats.  Voted the top prospect in Arizona League.

Renato Nunez DH rookie - The Venezuelan teenager hit .325, 4, 42 in Arizona League.  The Athletics signed him for $2.2 million in 2010 and he appears to be earning his keep.  He carries power potential.

Dakota Bacus SP rookie - A ninth round 2012 pick, Dakota went 3-0, 1.20 with seven saves in 18 appearances, one of them a start.  The opposition hit him at a .119 clip.

Seattle Mariners

Seattle has been one of the more prolific teams when signing international players.  They are also in a rebuilding mode and appear to have some promising players percolating in the minor league system.  Most of them appear to be a couple years away, but some should start seeing major league time in 2013.  Despite all the international deals most of the players below were drafted.

Jesus Sucre C AA - Noted more for his defense, Jesus showed he can supply a little offense with a .271 average.  He has very little power and a .634 OPS will limit him to a backup at best.

Brandon Maurer SP AA - Not to be confused with Brandon Morrow.  This Brandon went 9-2, 3.20.  He can hit the mid-90s with his fastball but does not miss many bats.

Carter Capps RP AA - Carter was rewarded with some major league time after his 1.20 ERA and 19 saves in AA.  He struck out 13 hitters per nine innings with his high 90s fastball.

John Hicks C Hi A - Hit .312 with 15 homeruns, stealing 22 bases.  He does not have great tools but he knows how to enhance them.

Leon Landry OF Hi A - Leon was acquired from the Dodgers for Brandon League, who was a disappointment for the Mariners after trading Brandon Morrow to acquire him.  Leon hit for the cycle once he was acquired and overall hit .341 in the California League, hitting 34 doubles, 18 triples, 13 homeruns and stealing 27 bases.

Steve Proscia Utl Hi A - The third baseman slugged .567 with his 24 homeruns, driving in 94.  Add in his 9 RBIs from AA and he had a 100 RBI season.  He hit .333.

Roenis Elias SP  Hi A - The 2010 Cuban defector had a nice first full season, getting in 26 starts for a 11-6, 3.76.  The lefthander is supposed to have a pretty good curveball and at 24 needs to move quickly to be considered a prospect.

Mike Zunino C rookie - The third overall pick in 2012 hit .373, 10, 35, putting together a 1.210 OPS.  This led to a promotion to AA where he hit .333 in over 50 at bats.  The majors may not be far away.

Taylor Ard 1B/DH rookie - A seventh round 2012 pick, the third straight year he was drafted, Taylor hit 12 homeruns for a .853 OPS.

Patrick Kivlehan 3B rookie - His .301, 12, 52 numbers got him the MVP of the Northwest Leage.  He also had a 19/93 walk to whiff ratio.  An impressive 14 for 15 in stolen bases, especially for one who plays the hot corner.

Tyler Marlette C rookie - Had a solid .284 season with five homeruns, but with Mike Zunino ahead of him may not get an opportunity with the Mariners.

Dario Pizzano OF rookie - Dario hit a sizzling .356 with a .953 OPS in his first year of professional ball.  Seems to be more suited for a corner outfield slot.

Tyler Pike SP rookie - The supplemental third round 2012 pick had an excellent professional debut going 2-1, 1.78 in eleven starts.  He was voted the 18th best prospect in the Arizona League.

Texas Rangers

The Rangers have perhaps the best prospect for 2013 in the minor leagues in Jurickson Profar.  Winning has dropped them down in the domestic draft so they have put an increased emphasis in the international market.

Mike Olt 3B AA - He may have to move to first base or an outfield corner with Adrian Beltre at third.  Olt is ready for the majors with his .288, 28, 82 production in AA.  He was voted the best power prospect in the Texas League.

Jurickson Profar SS AA - He will be the best prospect in baseball in 2013.  The shortstop from Curacao hit .281, 14, 62 in AA.  He may have to move to second base with Elvis Andrus at short, but many think Jurickson displays better defensive tools.  He was voted the best defensive shortstop in the Texas League this year.

Engel Beltre OF AA - Currently playing for Spain in the qualifying round for the World Baseball Classic.  Next year he could be playing for the Dominican Republic.  Engel hit 17 triples in his third season in the Texas League, hitting .261 with 13 homeruns.  His OPS went from .585 in 2011 to .727 in 2012.  Voted the best defensive outfielder in 2012.

Barret Loux SP AA - A gift of the Diamondbacks, who drafted him with their first pick in 2010 but didn’t sign him and made him a free agent out of an injury concern.  Barrett seemed healthy in AA going 14-1, 3.47 in 25 starts.

Ben Rowen RP Hi A - In his three years of minor league ball he has never had an ERA over 2.00.  This year he was 5-0, 1.57 with 19 saves.  He only walked three in 57 innings of work.

Royce Bolinger OF rookie - The 2012 sixth round pick did not show a lot of power with only one homerun, but he did hit .301.

Joey Gallo 3B rookie - He shows tremendous power with his .293, 18, 43 numbers.  The first round supplemental pick was voted the MVP of the Arizona League and ranked as the third best prospect of the league.

Lewis Brinson OF rookie - The 2012 first round pick hit .283, 7, 42.  He shows excellent speed with his seven triples and 14 stolen bases in 16 attempts.  He did whiff 74 times in just 54 games.  That needs to be cut back.

Alexander Claudio RP rookie - The Puerto Rican was 4-0, 1.79 in 14 appearances, three starts.  Alexander had an impressive 5/54 walk to whiff ratio.

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Halfway Point - AL West

Wednesday, July 11th, 2012

The Oakland Athletics continue to hang close, but this will be a battle between the Texas Rangers and Anaheim Angels.  The loser of the Division race will undoubtedly make the Wild Card.

Texas Rangers (2) 52-34

Heros: To be considered a hero you need to have a season that is above expectations.  So while Josh Hamilton is having a nice year, it is not heroic since many expect those numbers from him.  Matt Harrison is proving that his World Series performance last year was not a fluke, going 11-4, 3.10 in the first half of the season this year.  He is now the ace of the Rangers staff.  Craig Gentry has not gotten a lot of opportunity to play, but with his .329 average and 9 for 12 success rate in stolen bases you have to ask why.

Busts: Derek Holland also had a good season last year, but unlike Harrison he has not repeated that success with a 5.05 ERA.  He has been a bit homer prone with 12 taters in just 73 innings.  Mike Napoli (.228, 12) needs a repeat of his second half resurgence to prevent this year from being a bust.  Last year his average was in the same neighborhood and the Rangers rode his hot bat to the World Series, to the Angels chagrin.

Top Rookes: It is hard to call the top pitcher from Japan a rooke, but Yu Darvish qualifies and he is having a good season (10-5, 3.59).  He needs to control his walks.  Japanese pitchers like to nibble to get hitters to swing at their pitch until they get to three balls on the hitter.  That can be a dangerous tactic with major league hitters.  Yu doesn’t need to do that with his stuff.  He is averaging 10.26 strikeouts per nine innings pitched.  Robbie Ross is also doing a good job in the pen with a 6-0, 0.95 numbers.  The Rangers may give him more opportunities to pitch in a set-up role.  Brandon Snyder (.296) may get more playing time with the injury to Mitch Moreland.  Myworld’s prediction will be that increased playing time will result in increased exposure to the holes in his swing and his average will drop to below .250.

Hot on the Farm: Leonys Martin (.344) had some good AAA numbers but his 7 for 14 success rate in stolen bases needs improvement.  The Rangers demoted him because of their belief that he lacked instincts for the game.  Now that he is with the Rangers he has struggled offensively.  Jared Hoying was dropped from the Rangers Top 30 prospect list last year, but his promotion to AA has seen him hit .383 in 60 at bats.  We’ll see if this lasts.  Mike Olt (.292, 22) is crushing homers but plays the same position as Adrian Beltre.  He could move to first base to fill that hole if the Rangers feel they need more offense there.  Jurickson Profar (.291, 10) is one of the best young shortstops in the game, but the Rangers are happy with the production of Elvis Andrus.  The prospects are always greener when you are looking at them through minor league lenses.  Barret Loux (12-1, 3.61) is making the Rangers take notice with his numbers in AA.  Justin Grimm (8-3, 1.80) showed better numbers and failed in his opportunity.  Perhaps Barret is next.

Season Expectations: The Rangers recently signed Roy Oswalt.  If Oswalt does not have success they will still need one more starting pitcher to hold off the Angels.

Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim (1) 48-38

Heros: It is the chicken and egg arguement.  Did the Angels resurgence result because of Albert Pujols bat getting hot or the arrival of Mike Trout.  Both are probably accurate, but Trout has seemed to ignite this offense from the leadoff spot (.341, 12).  He may win both Rookie of the Year and MVP awards in the same season.  Who would have thought that at the All Star break Mark Trumbo (.306, 22) would lead the team in RBIs with 57.  The third base experiment is over and he has comfortably settled into the outfield.  You knew his defense was bad when during interleague play the Angles played Albert Pujols at third to get the bat of Kendry Morales in the lineup rather than Trumbo.  Scott Downs (0.30, 8 saves) and Ernesto Frieri (0.00, 11 saves) have been filthy out of the bullpen.

Busts: The Angels are paying a lot of coin to have Vernon Wells (.244) hit like a fourth outfielder.  He hasn’t produced with the bat over the last couple years to show he is better than that.  Player salary should not dictate playing time, especially if a team is in a pennant race.  Ervin Santana is giving up homeruns (20) as if they are candy, giving him an ugly 5.75 ERA.  His 42/73 walk to whiff ratio seem to indicate it isn’t going to get any better, despite his past history that shows he tends to be a second half pitcher.

Top Rookies: We’ve already talked about Mike Trout.  Garrett Richards may be given more opportunity with the futile offerings of Santana and the injury to Jerome Williams.  He needs to pitch better than his current numbers (4.21).  For a pitcher who has a lot of velocity on his fastball his hits to innings pitched (41/36) and walk to whiff ratio (19/28) are unimpressive.

Hot on the Farm: Hank Conger has hit well when healthy (.328) but his history has shown that staying healthy is difficult.  The Angels could use help behind the plate.  Jean Sugura (.286, 7) is another player who has had difficulty staying healthy, but that has not been a problem this year.  He also has 30 stolen bases in 41 attempts.  Ariel Pena (5-5, 2.98) has put up good numbers in AA.  He has the best slider in the organization and if Richards can not take advantage of his starting opportunity Pena could be next.

Season Expectations: With Trumbo and Trout hitting well the Angels can equal the Rangers offense, especially if Albert Pujols continues to carry his weight.  They were considered to have the best pitching in the division, but they have only gotten consistent starts from Jered Weaver and C.J. Wilson.  They need Santana and Haren to step up if they want to win the division.

Oakland Athletics (4) 43-43

Heros: It was a nice trade the Athletics made in snagging Josh Reddick (.268, 20) away from the Red Sox.  His power has been a surprise.  When Ron Washington selected the All Star representative for the Athletics he chose Ryan Cook (2-2, 1.41, 11 saves) over Reddick.  Ryan has taken over the closing role once held by Grant Balfour.  Myworld undersold him when the Athletics acquired him from the Diamondbacks for Trevor Cahill.  Travis Blackley (2-2, 2.63) has come out of nowhere (actually the KBO via Australia) to finally make his mark in the major leagues.  The Mariners expected this many years ago after he had won 19 games in the minor leagues.

Busts: Tyson Ross (2-8, 6.35) has struggled making his success of last year appear more like smoke and mirrors this year.  Brian Fuentes (6.84) was given his walking papers after he lost the closer role to Gran Balfour who then lost the closer role to Ryan Cook.  Manny Ramirez never made it to the Athletics major league roster.  He hit well in the minor leagues (.302) but his power was absent.  Myworld can not see the fascination the Athletics have with Daric Barton (.198) who plays a nice defense and can draw walks, but has trouble hitting over .200 with no power.

Top Rookies: Yoenis Cespedes (.263, 9) needs to stay healthy.  It seems he has been on the disabled list three or four times for different injuries.  That will put a damper to his offensive numbers.  Derek Norris (.244, 2) may see more playing opportunities after the struggles of Kurt Suzuki.  Cook has taken over the closer role for the Athletics.  Jarrod Parker (2.86) has been all that was expected of him before his arm issues derailed his career a couple years ago.  He is putting up ace like numbers now in the major leagues, though he still needs to reduce his walk numbers.  A.J. Griffin (1.50) may only have three starts, but if he keeps up giving up only 8 hits in 18 innings pitched he will have more opportunities.

Hot on the Farm: Graham Godfrey (8-0, 2.88) made the opening day roster but bombed after four starts.  He is looking for another opportunity and those numbers say he should get one.  The numbers for Josh Donaldson (.382, 10) have not translated with the major league club.

Season Expectations: The Athletics are doing much better than many people anticipated, including myworld.  As long as their pitching holds out they will battle to stay above .500.  A playoff appearance is just as likely as a move to San Jose.

Seattle Mariners (3) 36-51

Heros: Kevin Millwood (3-6, 3.69) has provided more than expected, especially in this year of failing veterans who signed late as free agents.  Tom Wilhelmsen (3-1, 2.44, 7 saves) has taken over the closer role from Brandon League.

Busts: The Mariners are talking about sending both Dustin Ackley (.233) and Justin Smoak (.203, 11) down to AAA.  Dustin showed some success last year, but Justin continues to struggle to hit for average.  Chone Figgins (.186) makes a lot of money for a back up infielder that can’t hit.  That will be a contract the Mariners will always regret.  Blake Beavan (3-6, 5.92) was sent to AAA to gain more consistency.  He may not be back this year.

Top Rookies: Jesus Montero has decent numbers (.245, 8) but the Mariners were expecting so much more.  They do have a pitcher’s park so perhaps Montero’s numbers will always be deflated.  Lucas Luetge has emerged as the Mariners top rookie, pitching out of the bullpen and putting up good numbers in a setup role (1.61).  His walk numbers are too high and it may come back to bite him before the season ends.

Hot on the Farm: Carlos Peguero (.293, 18) was recently called up.  He could add some power to the Mariner lineup, though the park may curtail some of his numbers.  Danny Hultzen rocked in AA (8-3, 1.19) but that success hasn’t been repeated in AAA (1-1, 5.25).  That could delay his major league arrival until at least September.  Carter Capps (1.47, 15 saves) is putting up video game numbers with his 12/63 walk to whiff ratio in only 43 innings.

Season Expectation:  Last place seems to be a lock unless the Athletics fall back to earth.  The only thing the Mariner fans have to look forward to is the promotion of pitchers Danny Hultzen, Taijuan Walker and James Paxton.

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Progress of Top Angels Top Prospects

Friday, May 11th, 2012

Now that it is May myworld will survey some of the top prospects for each of the organizations to see if they are living up to their billing.  For this year’s top ten we will use the MLB sites top ten prospects.  The way the Angels season is going so far they may need some of their top prospects to develop a little quicker to take over for veterans who are not producing or be used as trade bait if they can get back into the pennant race.  You don’t spend all that money to finish in last place.  They have a lot of ground to catch up on the Rangers and that will take a couple long winning streaks.

1. Jean Segura SS - He was originally a second baseman and then moved to shortstop in 2010 where he had a breakout year, hitting .313 with 52 stolen bases.  He had an injury plagued year in 2011, something that has not been foreign to him throughout his career.  The only season he has played in over 100 games in his five year professional career was 2010.  He hasn’t gotten off to a great start this year, hitting just .256, struggling mostly against righthanded pitching where he is only hitting .225.  He does have nine stolen bases in 12 attempts, but more importantly he has stayed healthy, playing in 31 games as of May 10.

2. Garrett Richards RHP - There was some thought that with a good spring Garrett would win the number five starter role, but the Angels decided to go with the man who had success last year in Jerome Williams.  Garrett is back pitching for Salt Lake where balls tend to travel a little farther in the high altitude.  In seven starts his ERA is 4.66.  Despite a fastball that hits in the high 90s the bats are finding the ball and hitting him for a .250 average, with lefthanded batters raking him at .280.  He is averaging just barely less than a strikeout per inning pitched.

3. C.J. Cron 1B - The big and burly 6′4″ 235 pound 2011 number one pick made a splash last year hitting .308 with 13 homeruns.  That season was shortened by surgeries to fix maladies in both his shoulder and knee.  The Angels bounced him up to the High A California League, skipping the Low A Midwest League affiliate.  He hasn’t really taken off yet with the power bat, slugging only .395 with four homeruns.  That pales in comparison to his .629 slugging accomplishments last year.  He is starting to warm up a bit in May, hitting .400 in his first nine games of May.  He is hitting .333 in 16 games as a DH with all four of his homeruns coming at the DH spot and only .169 when he is out on the field playing first base.  He’ll never be a gold glove first baseman defensively, but with his surgeries the Angels are not pushing him too hard to play his defensive position.

4. Kaleb Cowart 3B - Kaleb was the Angels 2010 first round pick.  He hasn’t yet hit for the power that is expected to come from his bat and his 81 whiffs in just 72 games last year will have to be improved upon if he wants to hit for a high average.  Unlike Cron, the Angels did not skip Cowart past Low A, where he is playing for the Cedar Rapid Kernels.  In just 31 games he is just one shy of his homerun mark last year with a team leading 24 RBIs.  He has improved his strikeout rate and is slugging .492.  While he is listed as a switch hitter, his bats against lefthanded pitching is only .107 with only one of his six homeruns hit against southpaws.

5. Taylor Lindsey 2B - Taylor was the first of the Angels two supplemental picks in 2010, but the fourth player they selected in the draft.  He had a nice year in 2011, repeating rookie ball and hitting .362 with nine homeruns.  Offense will have to be his calling card becuase his defense is only marginal.  In the California League he is only hitting .287.  Taylor is another player who the Angels allowed to skip low A.  He is not a fast runner so don’t expect a lot of stolen bases from this middle infielder.

6. Nick Maronde (LHP) - After being a third round pick in 2011, Nick got off to a good start in rookie ball going 5-0 with a 2.14 ERA in eleven starts.  He can hit 95 with his fastball and has a variety of secondary pitches to keep hitters honest.  In six starts to begin the 2012 season he has a 2.83 ERA, with only one really poor start to his resume.  He has a 9/35 walk to whiff ratio in just 35 innings.

7. Daniel Tillman (RHP) - Despite only pitching seven games in relief at High A last year, the Angels felt confident enough in his abilities to skip a level, promoting him to AA.  Based on his struggles at Arkansas in seven relief appearances he is 0-3, 14.85.  He has been scored upon in every outing except one, walking just as many hitters (6) as innings pitched (7).  Daniel has two plus pitches in a 92-94 mile per hour fastball and a slider.  He needs to find more consistency with his change.

8. Johnny Hellweg (RHP) - At 6′9 inches he was not the tallest player on his team.  That honor went to Loek Van Mill, until he was traded to the Indians.  Hellweg throws high 90s heat and last year the Angels put him in the starting rotation for the first time in his four years of professional ball.  His ERA (5.22) after six starts is the result of his lack of command (19 walks in just 29 plus innings of work) of the strike zone.  Lefthanders are only hitting him at a .157 clip, but two of the eight hits he has given up to lefthanded hitters have left the park.

9. Cam Bedrosian (RHP) - The son of Steve was one of three number one picks the Angles had collected in 2010.  Unlike his dad, his role seems to be in the starting rotation.  He’s got only two starts, both of them occurring in May, where he has only given up one run, a solo homerun in 7 innings of work.  At 6′0″ there will those who argue that he is too short to be a starter.  His best pitch is probably his slider, but his fastball can still zip through the plate in the low 90s.  To date, he has faced 13 lefthanded hitters and has yet to give up a hit.  His 5/5 walk to whiff ratio in seven innings pitched is not impressive.

10. Nick Mutz (RHP) - Nick is an unheralded righthander who was drafted in the ninth round of 2011 because he can hit his fastball in the mid 90s.  He pitched 12 games in the bullpen last year for rookie league Orem.  He has yet to get out of extended spring training.

Other prospects of note:

Mike Trout (OF) - After hitting .403 for Salt Lake with five triples the Angels promoted him to their major league club.  He will provide defense, speed and high average but won’t hit for a lot of power.

Hank Conger (C) - Hank had his opportunity to catch last year for the Angels but only hit .209.  They sent him back down to AAA to find his swing again.  A .357 average is a good indication that he has found it.

AL West - Surprise Roster Additions

Thursday, April 19th, 2012

The Rangers have gotten off to a hot start, but the season is still young and Albert Pujols is still not hitting so myworld has not given up on our first place vision for the Angels.

Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim (1) World Series Winner (4-8)

Hot button issue - The signing of Albert Pujols and the expected return to health of Kendry Morales gave both Mark Trumbo and Bobby Abreu no position to play in the lineup.  They have tried moving Trumbo to third but his defense has not been good and Abreu no longer has the speed to play the outfield.  This could lead to some disgruntled players as the season progresses.

Surprise Roster Additions - Alexi Amirista was a surprise addition to the original 25-man roster, but he was sent down without playing in a game to get bullpen help.  Jason Isringhausen and LaTroy Hawkins were two surprise veteran additions to the bullpen.  That could be a statement of the overall quality of the bullpen and the lack of confidence they have in their younger pitchers.  David Carpenter is an unheralded rookie to also make the pen, but he has had success pitching in relief in the minor leagues.  He was called up when Amarista was sent down.  If there is an achilles heel to the Angels it would be their bullpen.

Top Prospect Performance - Mike Trout is tearing it up at AAA with his .397/446/.569 slash line.  He also has three triples and four stolen bases.  The only issue of concern is his 13 whiffs in just 14 games.  Garrett Richards will eventually be called up to be the Angels fifth starter if he continues his 2.14 ERA after three starts.  He has a 4/21 walk to whiff ratio after 21 innings.  Donn Roach is another pitcher turning heads with a 1.80 ERA after three starts.

Significant March Transactions: None

Texas Rangers (2) Wild Card (10-2)

Hot Button Issues: Yu Darvish was about as hot button a signing as you can get.  His success will determine the overall success of the Rangers World Series run this year.  After the torrid start of Josh Hamilton and his off again on again battle with alcohol there will be debate about the merits and risks of signing him to a long term extension.  Not having Josh next year will tip the scales in the AL West.  There are not a lot of outfielders you can plug in an outfield spot to provide the offensive production that Josh gives.

Surprise Roster Additions: Craig Gentry beat out the more heralded Leonys Martin and Julio Borbon for the centerfield job, even though Josh may still see most of the time there.  The other two appear to lack the instincts to play the game and need to work on those skills in the minor leagues.  Alberto Gonzalez made the team in a utility role.  Prospect Robbie Ross has found himself in the bullpen as a lefthanded relief option.

Top Prospect Performance: Leonys Martin is raking in AAA, hitting .389 with two homeruns and three stolen bases.  At this pace it won’t take him long before he is a Ranger. Cody Buckel is smoking in High A Carolina with a 0.60 ERA in three starts.  He has 21 strikeouts in 16 innings and a .125 opposition batting average.  AA is not far away.  A level below Cody is Luke Jackson with a 1.84 ERA in three starts with 22 whiffs in 14 plus innings.

Significant March Transactions: They did release Brad Hawpe but then they resigned him in April and sent him to AAA.  Brandon Snyder was recalled before him so that shows how far Brad has fallen.

Seattle Mariners (3) 7-6

Hot Button Issues: They signed Hisashi Iwakuma as a free agent.  Until a balky shoulder restricted his ability to pitch he rivaled Yu Darvish as the best pitcher in Japan.  The fact that he couldn’t beat out Kevin Millwood for the fifth spot in the rotation shows that his shoulder must still not be healthy.  He even found himself raked by a Japanese team during an exhibition game in Japan, an event that rarely happened to Iwakuma when he was healthy.  The manager has still not shown enough confidence in him to put him in a major league game.  Trading Michael Pineda was a bold move to get some offense with Jesus Montero.  Pineda is now on the disabled list with the Yankees and Montero is leading the resurgent offense for the Mariners.

Surprise Roster Additions: Kevin Millwood won the job out of spring training as the fifth starter.  The bullpen is filled with interesting roster spots.  Erasmo Ramirez was not a highly touted prospect but a good spring put him in their bullpen.  He was born in Nicaragua.  Steve Delabar was a substitute teacher before signing with the Mariners as a minor league free agent last year.  He turned a September callup and good spring into a roster spot.  Lucas Luetge has not pitched past AA but he now finds himself in the Mariner bullpen.

Top Prospect Performance: Taijuan Walker is considered one of the top pitching prospects in the major leagues.  In two starts in AA he has a 1.64 ERA with 15 strikeouts in 11 innings and a .158 opposition average.  James Paxton is the second of a trio of top notch starting pitchers the Mariners are grooming.  He is also in the AA rotation and has a 1.20 ERA after three starts.  He has 21 whiffs in 15 innings and a .157 opposition average.  Brad Miller could be an offensive force at shortstop.  In the California League he is hitting .340 with four homeruns and 15 RBIs.  High Desert has a tendency to inflate the offensive performance of many players.  Jack Marder is another High Desert star with his .371 average, 15 runs scored and seven stolen bases.  The dry desert air does not provide you with any assistance with your stolen base totals.

Significant March Transactions: They released Hong-Chih Kuo because he couldn’t get anyone out and balls were flying over the fences in spring training.

Oakland Athletics (4) 6-7

Hot Button Issue: The biggest issue for them is whether they can move to San Jose.  A decision has to be made so the club can look at another location or selling to another owner.  There are not a lot of options for Oakland to relocate to if San Jose does not work out.  In the meantime, they play with mostly a AAA club and continue to wait for Bud to make a decision on their future.

Surprise Roster Additions: Yoenis Cespedes was the biggest surprise after being courted by the Marlins.  No one would have guessed that he would be playing for the Athletics right now.  Bartolo Colon continues to extend his career with teams desparate for pitching.  The Athletics hope that he will provide that veteran presence for the younger pitchers.  Let’s hope they don’t follow his eating habits.

Top Prospect Performance: Brad Peacock is lighting it up in AAA with a 1.42 ERA.  The opposition is only hitting .167 in his three starts.  A.J. Griffin is another pitcher to be watched.  He has a 1.08 ERA in three starts with a .158 opposition average and a 3/25 walk to whiff ratio in 16 plus innings.

Significant March Transactions: They claimed Brandon Hicks off waivers from the Atlanta Braves.  Just a couple years ago Brandon was considered the shortstop of the future for the Braves.

Spring Training - AL West

Wednesday, March 21st, 2012

Not a lot of changes in the AL West either based on the spring training results and the February transactions.  The Oakland Athletics have found an outfield and are catching up on the Mariners talent wise.

Los Angeles Angels (1) World Series Champs

Who’s Hot: Taylor Lindsey (.800) only has 10 at bats, but five singles, two doubles and one triple.  Howie Kendrick (.467, 3, 10 with 8 runs scored), Alberto Callapso (.433), Jean Segura (.381, 2, 6), Erick Aybar (.389 with two doubles, two triples and one homerun), Albert Pujols (.367, 3, 9).

Brad Mills (0.00, .107 ave.), C.J. Wilson (0.64, .160 ave.), Dan Haren (0.90, .094, 1/15 walk to whiff ratio in 10 IP)

Who’s Not: Efron Navarro (.111), Bob Abreu (.115)

Jordan Walden (12.46, .409), Loek Van Mil (10.80, .357 ave.), Johnny Helwig (11.25, .357)

Significant Injuries: Kendry Morales is still recovering from his ankle injury.  Jerome Williams has some hamstring issues.

February Transactions: Jason Isringhausen and Juan Rincon were signed as relief depth.

Texas Rangers (Wild Card)

Who’s Hot: Elvis Andrus (.455, 9 runs scored), Ian Kinsler (.429, 2, 4), David Murphy (.387, 1, 6), Mike Young (.385)

Matt Harrison (1.80, .143 ave), Derek Holland (2.00, .212 ave.)

Who’s Not: Conor Jackson (.083), Josh Hamilton (.167)

Joe Nathan (18.00, .417 ave), Neil Ramirez (15.47, .450 ave), Koji Uehara (12.46, .368 ave.), Martin Perez (9.00, .444 with 5 walks in 4 IP)

Significant Injuries: Neftali Perez has come down with a sore shoulder, jeopardizing his starting rotation responsibilities.

February Transactions: Signed Joe Beimel as relief depth.  Conor Jackson was also signed as a free agent to give the team flexibility at first base.

Seattle Mariners (3)

Who’s Hot: Justin Smoak (.400, 7 walks), Alex Liddi (.394, 1, 7 with 6 doubles and 9 runs scored), Ichiro Suzuki (.385, 1, 7), Munenori Kawasaki (.367, 9 RBIs)

Erasmo Ramirez (1.29, .231), Felix Hernandez (1.38, .116, 1/13 walk to whiff ratio in 13 IP), Hector Noesi (1.80, .176)

Who’s Not: Casper Wells (.167), John Jaso (.071), Miguel Olivo (.185)

Jason Vargas (12.46, .368 ave.), Hong Chih Kuo (17.55, .417 ave., 5 homeruns in 6.2 IP)

Significant Injuries: Franklin Gutierrez has a torn pectoral muscle that will force him to miss the start of the season.  Brendan Ryan has a quadriceps injury, which could give Munenori Kawasaki an opportunity to make the team as a shortstop.

February Transactions: They signed Hong Chih Kuo as a free agent, but a poor spring led to his release in March.  They also signed Carlos Guillen and hope he has something left in the tank to contribute to their offense.

Oakland Athletics (4)

Who’s Hot: Brandon Moss (.526, 1, 7), Collin Cowgill (.425, 9 RBIs and 4 stolen bases), Chad Pennington (.405), Eric Sogard (.366, 2, 7), Jemile Weeks (.350, 3, 9), Josh Reddick (.333, 2, 11)

Pedro Figueroa (0.00, .167), Tyson Ross (0.90, .257)

Who’s Not: Manny Ramirez (.167), Michael Taylor (.200), Yoenis Cespedes (.200), Daric Barton (.143), Adam Rosales (.118)

Jarrod Parker (3.27, 13 walks in 11 innings), Brad Peacock (12.86, .375),

Significant Injuries: Brett Anderson is out for most of 2012 after Tommy John surgery.  Dallas Braden has experienced shoulder problems.  Manny Ramirez has had back problems.

AL West - January Update

Friday, February 17th, 2012

This division should be a battle between the Angels and the Rangers.  Myworld still likes the Angels despite the Rangers acquisition of Yu Darvish.  Yu may put up ERAs under 2.00 in the NPB, but in the small environment and thin air of Texas Japanese fans should be prepared to see an ERA more at 3.68.  This won’t mean he had a bad year.  It is nice to have two powerhouse teams that do not call the AL East their home.

Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim Angels (1) - World Series Winner

January Transactions - No transactions of any significance that will have an impact on their major league roster.  They did all their damage in December.

Non-Roster Prospect to make Roster - With a good spring we like the non-K-Rod Francisco Rodriguez (Mexican variety) to make the team.  The Angels are very familiar with him since he has pitched out of the bullpen for them in past.  We’d like to see Loek Van Mil make the team to become the tallest player ever to play baseball.  Myworld thinks the Netherland’s native will have a better shot as a mid-season callup.  Ryan Langerhans still hangs around because of his defensive ability, but the Angels outfield is too strong and does not have any real defensive weaknesses to make him a good fit.

Texan Rangers (2) - Wild Card

January Transaction - The biggest splash they made was spending $100 million to sign Yu Darvish.  Now their biggest challenge is to figure out who will make the rotation from the seven pitchers that are available.  Myworld is certain about one thing - Yu Darvish will be one pitcher in that starting rotation.  They may have a surplus of AAA first basemen with the minor league signings of Brad Nelson and Brad Hawpe and the acquisition of Brandon Snyder from the Orioles.  The problem with Snyder is he is not a strength on defense and his bat is not strong enough to make up for that inefficiency.  Brad is more than happy to escape Petco and swing in a more hitter friendly park.  They also acquired Greg Reynolds from the Rockies.  Greg was a number one pick in 2006 from Stanford who has never reached his hype.

Non-Roster Invitee - Conor Jackson was a February signing that would give the Rangers depth in the outfield and at first base, though he fits better at first.  Joe Beimel has an excellent chance of making the rotation as a situational lefty.  Prior to last year he had three 71 game appearances and before that an 83 game performance, all with ERAs under 4.00.  Perhaps last year was just a flameout after all that use.  If his arm is healthy he will make the pen.  Myworld likes Tanner Scheppers to make the team.  We’ll see if his spring performance can make Ron Washington like him as well.  It is Ron Washington whose decision counts.

Seattle Mariners (3)

Significant Transactions - Hisashi Iwakuma is myworld’s favorite pitcher from Japan.  We hope his shoulder is healthy and he pitches well.  We will predict that Hisashi will have a lower ERA than Darvish when the season ends, but only because the park he pitches in is larger.  The Mariners also improved their offense by trading for Jesus Montero, as well as adding a future rotation piece in Hector Noesi.  They did have to give up potential number one starter Michael Pineda and future fireballer Jose Campos.  In the long run myworld believes that Jesus Montero will hit for more offense than Pineda pitches.  The signing of Oliver Perez could be interesting.  In the Mexican League his role was to get lefthanded hitters out.  If that is the plan the Mariners have for him he could have some success in the bullpen.

Non-Roster Invitee - Oliver Perez had some success in the Mexican League as a lefthanded specialist.  He may make the Mariners filling that role.  He must show in spring training that he can get lefthander hitters out.  Forest Snow had some success in the AFL.  At 6′6″ he can be a pretty imposing pitcher.  If he can carry that success to spring he could make the Mariners bullpen.  Myworld was impressed with Munenori Kawasaki and his ability to play short in the Asia series.  He should make the Mariners team in a utility capacity.  In the long run he will do no worse than Brendan Ryan if they should give him a starting role.

Oakland Athletics (4)

January Transactions - The Athletics did a good job of filling their centerfield hole with the signing of Coco Crisp.  We think that when spring training ends the Athletics will not feel that February signing Yoenis Cespedes is the demi-god that will move Coco from center and Cespedes will shift to right.  They also acquired Seth Smith in a trade with the Rockies, giving up pitchers Josh Outman and Guillermo Moscoso.  Seth will continue his platoon role, sitting against lefthanders but playing left field against most right handers.  Another free agent signing, Johnny Gomes will get the starts in left field against lefthanded pitching.  So in 2012 the Athletics addressed all their outfield needs.  They also signed free agent pitcher Bartolo Colon, who looked like an ace in spring training last year and won a starting job for the Yankees.  The Athletics can only hope that he repeats that performance in 2012.

Non-Roster Invitee - Brandon Moss had a hot playoff run in the Mexican League, showing some unusual power.  If he can translate that to the spring he seems like a perfect fit for a fourth outfielder.  Travis Schlichting needs to show better command, but despite the high number of walks he still had a decent ERA (3.55) in 16 relief appearances.  He could make it as a bullpen piece.  The Athletics did trade away a lot of their better pitchers so opportunities also exist for Merkin Valdez, Eric Threets and Edgar Gonzalez with good springs.

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Calling All Angels - Angels

Wednesday, December 14th, 2011

General Overview: The Angels hope they got two with Albert Pujols and C.J. Wilson. At least with Pujols they got a deeply religious man, so he fits well with the team moniker. Who needs angels in the outfield when you’ve got a slugging firstbaseman that is considered the best hitter in the league. He will make the lineup that much stronger. The same can be said about C.J. Wilson with the starting rotation. He and Jered Weaver could be the best 1-2 combination in the American League and that rotation gets stronger as they slot down to fit Wilson in the number one or 1A slot.

Why They Will Win: The signed the best hitter in baseball in Albert Pujols. He may not end up the best hitter for the full ten years of his contract, but he will be considered the best hitter entering 2012. That certainly makes the lineup more threatening. They also signed a pitcher who is a borderline ace, but no worse than a number two type pitcher in C.J. Wilson. That gives them the best four man rotation in the American League, and possibly in baseball with Jered Weaver, Dan Haren and Ervin Santana. The key to the rotation is if Jerome Williams duplicates the success he had last year and that he continued to do in the winter league. That would then make the rotation five deep.  Jordan Walden blew 10 saves last year, but he certainly has the stuff to be a knock down closer. With Pujols at first and two pretty good hitting first basemen behind him in Kendrys Morales and Mark Trumbo they won’t have any problem filling the DH role. Peter Bourjos is a gazelle in centerfield and shows some potential to hit. Torii Hunter and Vernon Wells need to have bounce back years to justify their high salaries. If they don’t they have opened the door to Mike Trout to take one of their spots in the outfield. That will make the outfield defense supreme. Erick Aybar is one of the best fielding shortstops in baseball who can hit a little bit too. Pitching staffs have a great appreciation for gold glove shortstops. They certainly have a lot of depth, with a number of players that can play multiple positions in case injuries hit.

Why They Won’t Win: Who will play third and second is still a mystery. A combination of the mighty mites Alberto Callaspo, Howard Kendrick and Maicer Izturis can all share the playing time. There is even talk of moving Mark Trumbo to third to give Kendrys Morales and Bobby Abreu more opportunities at DH. Catching was a real weak point last year with Hank Conger and Jeff Mathis unable to hit. It would have been nice to have Mike Napoli around, but with Mike Scioscia lurking over him he may have never blossomed. They appear to have replaced one no hit catcher with another in Chris Ianneta. Hank Conger has shown that he can hit in the minor leagues, so he will get more playing time if his bat produces in the major leagues. The bullpen is a little creaky with a heavy reliance on Jordan Walden and not a strong cast behind him.

Top Prospects Prepared to Make the Roster: Everyone knows about Mike Trout, but he had too many at bats to qualify as a rookie.  With a lineup pretty well set with veterans the best bet for a prospect to fit would be in the bullpen.  That would take a good spring from Trevor Bell, Michael KohnGarrett Richards or Bobby Cassevah.  It would be nice to see seven footer Loek Van Mil make the team out of spring, but he was designated after the season and would have to be added back to the 40 man roster.  Garrett could be the best bet if an addition had to be made to the starting rotation because of injuries.

Long Range Prospects: Jean Segura may be the best position prospect but it would take an injury to Erick Aybar to give him an opportunity.  Randall Grichuck was taken in the first round with Mike Trout in back to back picks.  Injuries have stalled his advancement and the outfield is crowded, but he is a talent.  So is Jeremy Moore, who has hit triple doubles in back to back years (double figures in doubles, triples and homeruns) and has lots of tools to add to a lineup.  Watch for the pint sized Alexi Amarista.  At 5′8″ he matches the other three munchkins to rotate around the infield.  At 6′3″ Albert Pujols will seem like a giant in those infield mound discussions.

Significant Transactions (as of 12/13): The two most significant transactions were the same day signings of C.J. Wilson and Albert Pujols. They also traded rookie Tyler Chatwood to the Rockies for Chris Ianetta. This gave them some depth at catching that allowed them to trade Jeff Mathis to Toronto for Brad Mills, who could be used as a lefthander in the pen. They lost starting pitcher Joel Pineiro and the beginning of the season closer Fernando Rodney, but both pitchers had poor years last year. Expect a move to strenghten the bullpen before spring training begins. There was discussion of trading Ervin Santana to free up some salary, but that would put a dent in the starting rotation.

Expected Finish: They will battle with the Rangers for the top spot in the AL West, but with the additions of Wilson and Pujols the Angels will prevail. It will be back to back World Series appearances for Albert and the Angels will reward him with another World Series victory, making other teams wonder why they didn’t offer Albert his $20 million plus price.  Would a World Series win be worth $220 million or so if Albert Pujols couldn’t perform after the first year?

Inevitability of Change

Friday, December 9th, 2011

Cardinal fans may not be in a good mood.  Five years from now, when the contract appears to be an albatross on the salary structure of the Angels roster, Cardinal fans can breathe a sigh of relief.  The Angels may have won a couple World Series by then, but at least the team made a competetive effort to keep him.

History has shown that big salaries do not win pennants.  Ask the Texas Rangers that when they signed Alex Rodriguez to the first $200 million contract.  It is the component parts that you surround around the big salary with that is key.  If those component parts are deficient because all you can buy is bargain brands, then all you have got is a gate attraction, but not a playoff caliber team.

The Angels are fortunate in that they have a number of good young players coming up their system that can contribute to a playoff run.  Plus three first baseman that they will have to find positions for, presuming Kendry Morales is healthy.

Oriole fans can relate to the way the Cardinals lost Albert Pujols.  While Vladimir Guerrero had never had Oriole roots like Albert, Oriole fans felt the Angels stole him away from the team.  When Vladimir first became a free agent, the Orioles were the only team that seemed to have any interest in negotiating with him.  The market price for what the Orioles wanted to pay for him seemed set and it was just a matter of time for Guerrero to agree to it.  No other team was bidding for him.  Just as they did with Pujols, at the last second Moreno and his Angels came swooping in and make an offer that trumps the Orioles.  Guerrero signs with the Angels within a couple days of anyone knowing that the Angels were even interested.

That appears to be the way Moreno and company operate the Angels.  Like black ninjas that roam with stealth through the halls of the winter meetings they wait until the other teams have had an opportunity to bid on a player and if the price seems right and stable they bring in the horde, swinging down through the roof tops and the chandeliers to sign that player to a contract.  There was not a lot of discussion about their interest in C.J. Wilson either, but sure enough, it was the Angels that signed him when the announcement was made.

Moreno has a little bit of competetion in Los Angeles, now that Magic has talked about purchasing the Dodgers with Stan Kasten.  Moreno let the team get fat and happy with their consecutive playoff appearances, reducing the price of beer, comfortable with the wreckage that Frank McCourt was making of the Dodgers.  Then the Rangers took advantage of their sloth and stole two division pennants away from them in back to back years.  It was time to get on the treadmill and start getting in playoff shape again, especially with the Dodgers putting together some competetion in the area.

The Cardinals can be comforted in the fact that they do not have to play both Lance Berkman and Allan Craig in the outfield next year.  They can move one of them to first, and though they lose a bit of offense, they should gain quite a bit in defense.  In baseball, it is not how many runs you score, but whether you can score more runs than the other team.  So if you are winning games 3-2, that is just as much of a victory as winning games 9-8.

Their big challenge will be finding a replacement for Tony LaRussa.  A lot of pressure will be placed on new manager Mike Matheny.  It will make it that much tougher on him to try to manage this team without Albert Pujols no longer protecting his lineup.  At least if he can survive five years he won’t have the pressure to try to justify putting a 37 year old player at first base, who has obviously lost his bat speed, but at over $20 million per year he just can’t sit him on the bench.


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