Archive for the 'Padres' Category

Myworlds 2021 Top 100 Prospects - The Top Ten

Thursday, March 18th, 2021

Not a lot needs to be said about them. These are the top ten prospects for 2021.

10. Casey Mize RHP (Tigers) - The more we watch the two pitch the more myworld tends to lean with his teammate Tarik Skubal as the better prospect, but we put this list together a month ago and we’ll go with it. When you are the first pick in the 2018 draft it is hard to argue against you. His frame is nice at 6′3″ with a solid 220 pounds, the fastball comes at the hitters in the mid-90s and the splitter is his signature pitch that gets lots of swings and misses. His slider is also a plus pitch that can get hitters out. What he lacks is a soft pitch that can keep hitters off balance. He made his major league debut last year and seemed pretty hittable. A 6.99 ERA with 7 homeruns in 28 innings with a .252 opponent average. That is a bit disappointing. Even the best pitchers who eventually win multiple Cy Youngs have their struggles in their first and second years. Mize should win a starting spot in the Tigers rotation in 2021. With better command of his pitches he should do better his second time around. There are some that have concerns about his delivery that will make him susceptible to injury. He has not tapered those concerns, missing some time to injuries during the season.

9. Austen Marten SS (Blue Jays) - The second highest ranked pick of the 2020 draft. Myworld saw him in the College World Series, but we came away more impressed with J.J Bleday. Austen played multiple positions with Vanderbilt. That could be to his advantage with the Blue Jays. They have a number of players on their team who play multiple positions and they can mix and match until they get the best result. His best fit appears to be second base. His arm was always an issue with Vanderbilt as far as strength and accuracy. His bat will get him in the lineup, hitting just three points shy of .400. The Jays were surprised to see him available when their turn came up with the fifth pick in the draft. His power may not be enough to fit at third or a corner outfield, and his speed is a bit short to cover centerfield. Expect him to rise quickly, perhaps finishing at AA in 2021 and fitting himself in the Blue Jays lineup in 2022 as a super utility player or second baseman.

8. Marco Luciano SS (Giants) - Marco is still an untested commodity that comes with a lot of hype. The Giants spent $2.6 million to sign him in 2018. He made his minor league debut in 2019 and hit .322 with 10 homeruns and a .616 slugging percentage. The bat certainly came as advertised with a lot of pop. The challenge for Marco is sticking at shortstop. He lacks speed to have the range required of a shortstop and as he matures and gets bigger that speed should decrease. He has the power and the arm to move to third. Marco won’t turn 20 until September so A ball will be good for him to start the 2021 season. His first appearance with the Giants may not be until late 2023.

7. C.J. Abrams SS (Padres) - The sixth pick in the 2019 draft has some burner speed. Some think that centerfield would be the best position for him. The tools are there to stick at shortstop. Normally a player with his speed lacks pop, but C.J. had enough pop to slug .647 in A ball in 2019. Part of that was his speed as he turned gap hits into triples (8 in 34 games). C.J. makes good contact with a 11/14 walk to whiff ratio resulting in a .393 average. The numbers for his first year were pretty impressive. The potential is there for him to exceed 40 stolen bases and hit in the teens in homeruns, with the speed to turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples. C.J. will start the 2021 season in A ball. With Fernando Tatis filling the Padres shortstop position there is no need to rush Abrams to the major league club. But centerfield is always a possibility if Tatis is still at short when Abrams is ready in 2022.

6. Julio Rodriguez OF (Mariners) - The Dominican prospect who signed with the Mariners in 2017 for $1.75 million is a multi tooled athlete that can play centerfield. Speed may be his least raved about tool and as he gets bigger right field could be a better fit. Especially with Kelenic keeping pace with him as they climb up the minor league ladder. The 2019 season was his first in the States and he hit .326 with a .540 slugging percentage. Most of his damage was done in a 17 game performance in the California League (.462/.738). The power is there for him to reach 40 plus homeruns and still hit in the .300 neighborhood. After his massacre of California League pitchers last year he could begin 2021 in AA which could result in a promotion late in 2021, if service time does not become an issue.

5. Andrew Vaughn 1B (White Sox) - The third player selected in the 2019 draft is hitting so well in spring that many see him making the team as a first baseman and leaving Jose Abreu free to hit in the designated hitter slot. While he has a right handed bat and only stands 6′0″, a frame that most scouts don’t like in a major league first base prospect, hit bat produces a lot of hits with power. The two tools he lacks are speed and the ability to play a quality first base with the glove. The patience is there for him to draw a number of walks. When all is said and done he could reach the major leagues hitting 30 homeruns, hitting over .300 with 100 plus walks for a OBA over .400. The White Sox will be a playoff contender in 2021. If they feel the bat of Vaughn will help them get into the playoffs he will be on their roster in 2021.

4. Spencer Torkelson 1B (Tigers) - The highest ranked pick in the 2020 draft. The Tigers have the belief that he can play third, but myworld does not have a lot of confidence in that. He stands 6′1 and weighs 220 pounds. Spencer has a lot of traits similar to Vaughn, a right handed bat who is not big in stature but with a bat that is projected to hit over .300 with 30 plus homeruns. One bright spot on his resume is that he hit 25 homeruns in his freshman year at Arizona State, besting alumni Barry Bonds in that department when Bonds was a freshman. Like Vaughn he has the patience to draw a lot of walks. As a college pick he could be moved quickly but the Tigers will probably not use up his service time in 2021 and save him for a late 2022 callup.

3. Adley Rutschman C (Orioles) - Adley has a lot of similarities to another catcher that was drafted highly, Matt Wieters. And while Adley was the first player selected in the 2019 draft and Wieters was the fifth pick, they still have much in common. The most prevalent is the tools to turn a franchise around. Wieters hit .355 with 27 homeruns in his first full minor league season, but it was all down hill after that. Rutschman hopes for more consistency in his seasons. In 2019 he led Oregon State to a College World Series championship. The bat contains the power to hit 20 plus homeruns per year, and despite his 6′2′ height he moves deftly behind the plate. Myworld would not be surprised to see Adley make his major league debut in 2021, but service time obligations may leave him down in the minor leagues until 2022.

2. Jarred Kelenic OF (Mariners) - The teammate of Julio Rodriguez, Jarred was the sixth player taken in the 2018 draft by the Mets. The Mets traded him to the Mariners for Robinson Cano and Edwin Diaz. The Mariners may learn to hate that deal in 2024, when the Mariners appear in the playoffs and the Mets are still scrambling to find a playoff spot. Kelenic has the speed to play centerfield. His arm is solid, but may be best suited for left field. The power is not as great as Rodriguez, but he was able to slug 23 homeruns in 2019, rising all the way to AA. Expect him to start the season at AA with a late season promotion in 2021.

1. Wander Franco SS (Rays) - Not a lot needs to be said about Wander. This is the second year in a row he has rated at the top of myworld’s list. The only concern about him is whether he can stick at shortstop. The Rays currently have Willy Adames at that position. Adames does not have the bat of Franco, but he has a better glove. So this spring the Rays have been putting Franco at other positions. They may continue this experiment in 2021, after he is sent down to the minor leagues, playing him at multiple positions to groom him for a starting spot with the Rays for a playoff run in 2021. Franco has the potential of a player to win batting titles while hitting over 40 homeruns per year. His walk to whiff ratio in two minor league seasons is 83/54. He also stole 18 bases in 2019. Franco can do anything, including playing shortstop if an opening exists.

Myworlds Top 2021 Prospects 30-21

Wednesday, March 10th, 2021

With the speed of the Cuban playoffs, the prospect countdown continues.

30. Trevor Larnach OF (Twins) - Trevor is a little like the outfielder he is competing against for the left field position vacated by Eddie Rosario. The 2018 first round pick is not noted for his speed which makes playing the outfield a challenge for him. He was a teammate of Nick Madrigal for the Oregon State College World Series team in 2018. At 6′4″ he carries a hefty bat that will contribute a lot of power once in the lineup. The arm is a fit for right field, but the Twins opening outfield spot is left field. Trevor has a career .307 average in his two year minor league career with a .468 slugging. Alex will probably win the left field job, but Trevor has enough bat to find his way into the lineup, either as a DH or rightfielder in 2021. It would be a challenging outfield with both Alex and Trevor in the corners.

29. Grayson Rodriguez RHP (Orioles) - The 11th pick in the 2018 draft has an array of quality pitches in his arsenal. At 6′5″ he also has an impressive frame. His fastball sits in the mid-90s and a quality change up makes it appear faster. His slider is a swing and miss pitch and the curve gives him two quality breaking pitches. Grayson has so many weapons at his disposal. If he has a weak point it may be his inconsistent command. In 2019 he walked 36 hitters in 94 innings at Low A, a little more than teams prefer, but he only gave up 57 hits for a .171 opponent average. That equates to a WHIP less than one. Grayson will start 2021 in High A, but could be quickly promoted with success. By 2023 he should be pitching in the Orioles rotation and by 2025 he should be their ace.

28. Vidal Brujan 2B (Rays) - Speed will be his game. The Rays signed him to a $5000 bonus out of the Dominican Republic, so he has turned into quite a bargain, something the low cost Rays thrive on. In his last two years he stole 103 bases. The down side in his game is that he has very little power. More and more teams are looking for pop at this position. Stolen bases are also not as valued. Until 2019 his walks almost equaled his whiffs. As he rises up the minor league ladder and reaches the major leagues those walk to whiff ratios could expand even more. If Vidal could keep his OBA high it would create an ideal top of the lineup hitter, but a number of low power, high speed guys have failed to keep their second base job. Brujan does have the tools to play short, so he could be used in a utility role, which could increase his value to a major league club. Vidal will start the 2021 season in AA and could be promoted to the Rays that year to take advantage of his speed in a playoff race.

27. McKenzie Gore LHP (Padres) - McKenzie is considered to be by many the top pitching prospect in baseball. The third pick in the 2017 draft was troubled by blisters in 2018, which created ugly numbers in ERA (4.45) and batting average against (.260). He bounced back in 2019 improving those numbers to a 1.69 ERA and a .164 opposition average. His strikeout to walk ratio also improved. At 6′2″ he is not a big guy and his fastball is a less than overpowering low 90s. The two breaking pitches and the change, plus the movement on his fastball and his ability to locate his pitches make him a tough at bat. With a good spring he could sneak his way into the Padres rotation, but he struggled in AA in 2019 so that could be his location for the start of 2021. Expect a callup by mid-season.

26. Drew Waters OF (Braves) - While Drew is a pretty talented centerfielder, he falls a bit short defensively to Pache. The second round 2107 pick has the arm to play right and the bat to fill the corner outfield position. In 2019 he won the AA batting title with a .319 average and was voted the MVP of the league. His bat is probably more consistent than Pache, with a little more punch. For 2019 he showed enough pop to spray the gaps for 40 doubles. As he matures the Braves hope some of those gap hits will carry over the fence. The big concern in his game is the 164 whiffs in just 134 games. He also lacks the patience to take a walk, swinging too much at a pitcher’s pitch out of the strike zone. Pache was the first to reach the majors but Waters should join him in 2021 giving the Braves one of the most talented pair of outfielders defensively.

25. Ian Anderson RHP (Braves) - The 2016 first round pick will not overwhelm you with power. His fastball can ride up into the mid-90s, but it sits more comfortably in the low 90s, where Ian can control it more. His curveball plays well off his fastball which results in a ton of swings and misses. In 2019 Ian struck out 172 hitters in just 135.2 innings. The change is the third pitch that can get hitters chasing. Ian made his major league debut in 2020 and shined. He finished with a 1.95 ERA in six starts limiting major league hitters to a .172 average. He also continued to be a strike out machine, whiffing 41 batters in 32.1 innings. Ian can have bouts of inconsistency with his command, but those were limited with the Braves. A full season could define those warts, or allow them to show up more frequently. Ian should be in the Braves rotation in 2021.

24. Corbin Carroll OF (Diamondbacks) - The 2019 first round pick shows excellent speed to patrol centerfield and streak around the bases. In his one brief minor league season he hit seven triples in just 42 games and stole 18 bases. The 5′10″ outfielder may lack the strength to ever hit for any power, but his defense in centerfield should save some runs and he will create havoc on the bases. It also appears he shows some patience at the plate with 29 walks in just 42 games. The 2021 season should see him begin the year in A ball with quick promotions to AA if he handles himself well. He and fellow Diamondback outfielder Alek Thomas have the same speed first, lack of power tool set that will be tough to fit them both in the outfield. The Diamondbacks may choose one to play center and trade the other for roster help.

23. Asa Lacey LHP (Royals) - The first round 2020 pick has a wicked lefthanded arm that can scatter mid-90s fastballs all around the plate. A 6′4″ frame and two devastating breaking pitches creates a fastball that is just more dangerous. His change is also a plus pitch. The two big challenges for Asa is his inconsistency to find the plate, and the absence of a 2020 season that would have allowed him to get into a rhythm. Asa pitched three seasons for Texas A&M, so he could rise quickly. Royals fans should expect to see him in 2022.

22. Kristian Robinson OF (Diamondbacks) - Christian may be the top rated player out of the Bahamas. The Diamondbacks provided a $2.5 million bonus to sign him. All the tools exist to make him a five tool player. Power is probably his best tool, but even at 6′3″ he carries the speed that could result in 30 or more stolen bases. That speed and a strong arm will make any outfield position fit. The bat should make him a superstar. In 2019 he slugged 14 homeruns in just 69 games for a .514 slugging percentage. His speed allowed him to steal 17 bases. While he hit .287 there is still not a lot of contact in his swing. He struck out 77 times, but there is still enough patience in his at bats that he was able to walk 31 times. At only 20 years of age, Kristian still has a lot of development to do. A little more time at A ball in 2021 could lead to AA with some success. He could arrive in late 2022 with the Diamondbacks in a September callup.

21. Sixto Sanchez RHP (Marlins) - The Phillies originally signed Sixto in 2015 out of the Dominican Republic for a paltry $35,000. They included him in a trade for J.T. Realmuto in what they hoped would be a playoff run. That playoff never arrived and instead the Marlins surprised everyone by making the playoffs in 2020 and Sixto led the charge. Throwing a fastball that routinely hits triple digits, Sixto got seven starts with the Marlins and rewarded them with three wins and a 3.42 ERA in those starts. The fastball is his bread and butter, but Sixto has the ability to mix in a quality change, curve and cutter. He also knows how to command the pitches. The only concern about him is his smallish 6′0″ frame and his 230 plus pounds, which is not a recipe for health. Provided he can stay healthy he should be the ace of a talented Marlins staff in 2021.

Myworlds Top 100 Prospects - 80 - 71

Thursday, February 18th, 2021

The interesting fact about the next top ten players is they were all drafted. Only one international bonus signing is part of this ten group.

80. Ryan Mountcastle OF (Orioles) - The 2015 first round pick lacks a position. He started at shortstop, then moved to third, but his arm was not strong enough to play there. First base is a possibility but the Orioles are loaded at the position. So his current position is left field, with a lot of designated hitter time as well. The foot speed is lacking for him to be a strong defensive player in the outfield, but his bat is what will get him in the lineup. Last year he made his major league debut, played in 35 games and hit .333 with 5 homeruns and a .492 slugging percentage. The bat displays some impressive power but can also live in the gaps. Despite his lack of defensive prowess, the bat will get him in the Orioles lineup in 2021, mostly as a DH.

79. Josiah Gray RHP (Dodgers) - The Dodgers have a way of developing good pitchers. Gray was an acquisition from the Reds and all they had to do was trade the troublesome Yasiel Puig to acquire him. He was a second round supplemental pick by the Reds in 2018. While the fastball that strikes the mid-90s is his best pitch, he also throws two breaking pitches (slider and curve) and a change that are all quality pitches. He also commands the pitches well. In 2019 he threw for three teams, striking out 147 hitters in just 130 innings. Opponents have hit him at a .192 clip. He finished the 2019 season pitching for the AA team. The 2021 season could see him slip into the Dodgers starting rotation, though they already have a couple young pitchers in their rotation. Josiah will start the season in AA. How far he advances will be determined by his success.

78. George Valera OF (Indians) - Valera carries all five tools, though none of them to an explosive degree. The Indians signed him for $1.3 million out of the Dominican Republic. The speed tool probably lacks the quickness to play centerfield full time, and his arm tool lacks the vibrant strength to throw cannons out in right field. That is not to say those tools are weak, but they are limiting. The bat should be strong enough to play whatever position he wants. The 2019 season was a lost season for George, hitting .087 in Low A after struggling with a .236 average in Rookie ball. The power potential is there to hit double digit numbers in homeruns and the speed is enough to get him double digits in stolen bases. George is still a couple years away from seeing the Indians outfield, but when he makes his appearance he should be impactful.

77. Xavier Edwards SS (Rays) - When you first watch Xavier play you may not be impressed. The first round supplemental pick of the Padres in 2018 will not be hitting a lot of deep balls over the outfield fences in batting practice. The foot speed is what will set him apart. That allows him to cover a lot of ground at short and steal bases when he gets on base. In his two minor league seasons he has combined for 56 stolen bases. His bat can also sting line drives that have allowed him to hit .328 in those two years. There will not be a lot of swings and misses in his at bats, which could make him a solid number two hitter in a lineup geared for speed. Other than his lack of power, an average arm and Wander Franco could force a move to second base. The 2021 season should see him open the season in AA with a possible major league appearance some time in 2022.

76. Luis Campusano C (Padres) - Luis is one of the minor league players the Padres have not traded. They drafted him in the second round in 2017. Despite only playing A ball in 2019, the Padres provided Luis with his major league debut last year. He played in one game, getting three at bats, two strikeouts and a homerun. Luis won co-MVP honors when he played in the California League in 2019, hitting .325 with 15 homeruns. Defensively, he has a strong arm, but he still needs to work on the more subtle tools of catching such as calling and framing pitches. He should open 2021 in AA with the possibility of making his second appearance in the major leagues. The Padres will be gunning for a playoff spot in 2021 so relying on a rookie catcher to lead a veteran pitching staff would not be their ideal scenario.

75. Garrett Mitchell OF (Brewers) - The Brewers made Garrett their first round pick in the 2020 draft. His most eye catching tool would be his speed, allowing him to cover a lot of ground in center. The arm is also strong enough to play right. His batting practice appearances have been impressive, showing an ability to hit for power. Whether that will translate when he plays in games is open to question. Garrett does have Type 1 diabetes, which may be a cause for him dropping to the 20th pick in the draft. His tools suggest that he should have gone a bit higher. Garrett will start the season in Low A but could rise quickly if his batting practice results translate in real game situations. If that happens expect him to see the Brewers outfield in 2023.

74. Shane Baz RHP (Rays) - The righthanded pitcher was drafted by the Pirates in the first round in 2017. The Rays stole him from the Pirates in the Chris Archer trade, also acquiring Austin Meadows and Tyler Glasnow. Shane has an electric fastball that can hit triple digits on the radar readings. His slider is also a swing and miss pitch. He lacks command and an effective third pitch, though his change could work with more development. If he fails to find a third pitch his slider/fastball combination are good enough to make him a closer option. The 2019 season was his most dominating performance, limiting the opposition to a .213 average, which brought his ERA down to 2.99. That put him on the prospect map and had Pirate fans tearing the hair from their scalp wondering what the Pirate front office was thinking when they traded three potential impact players for a pitcher that faltered. The 2021 season will be key, determining whether the success Baz achieved in 2019 was real. He will probably begin in AA and could see the major league rotation or the bullpen late in the 2021 season.

73. Tristan McKenzie RHP (Indians) - Tristan disappeared from the prospect discussion when back problems had him miss the 2019 season. The 2015 supplemental first round pick was a surprise call up to the starting rotation for the Indians in 2020. Standing 6′5″ and weighing just 160 pounds, he looks like a praying mantis on the mound, with all arms and skinny stick like legs. The fastball sits in the low 90s, but if he puts some meat on his bones that velocity could see a significant uptick. His command was superb and he showed four quality major league pitches, resulting in a 3.24 ERA in 8 appearances and six starts. With a 9/42 walk to whiff ratio, major league hitters could only attack him for a .179 average. Health could be a concern. The Indians will cross their fingers and hope that health stays secure as he starts the 2021 season in the Indians rotation.

72. Heliot Ramos OF (Giants) - The Puerto Rican was drafted in the first round of the 2017 draft. Like Valera he is a five tool outfielder that has no real explosive tools, but enough to make an impact. His arm may be his best tool, which will fit perfectly in right field. He is probably the best outfielder in a crop of quality outfielders coming up through the Giants minor league system. He avenged a poor 2018 season by hitting .290 in 2019 with 16 homeruns and a .481 slugging percentage playing at two levels. Most of his damage was in the California League, as he struggled a bit in 25 AA games (.242). The 2021 season should see him repeat AA and be ready to suit up for the Giants outfield sometime in the latter parts of the 2022 season.

71. Taylor Trammell OF (Mariners) - Another outfielder with a lot of tools who has already been traded twice. He was drafted by the Reds in 2016 as a supplemental first rounder. The Padres acquired him in a trade and then sent him to the Mariners to help them in a playoff race. Myworld witnessed his tools in the Future Games feature of the All Star game in 2018. His legs have enough speed to fill in at center, but his arm will limit him to left field. The bat carries 20 homerun pop if he can improve his ability to make contact. This could make him a 20/20 player. The Mariners outfield could get a little crowded with Julio Rodriguez, Kyle Lewis and Jarred Kelenic, so if he wants a major league opportunity that may not come until he gets traded a third time. The tools are there for him to make his major league debut in 2021, starting the season in AAA.

Myworlds Top 100 Prospects - 90 to 81

Saturday, February 13th, 2021

Our next ten in the top prospect list. This group is filled with 2019 international signings and 2020 first round draft picks. Not a lot of players here with minor league history.

90. Erick Pena OF (Royals) - The Royals signed the Dominican for $3.9 million. The lefthanded power bat is only 17 and stands 6′3″. Power will be his best tool. He lacks the speed to be an impact player in centerfield so the corner appears to be his future position. The arm is not right field quality but if he gets stronger he could fit well there. He really has no stats to indicate what kind of player he could be but the Royals spent a lot of coin to sign him. He could start next year in extended spring and start the season in Low A. The Royals will have to wait until 2023 before he joins their outfield.

89. Robert Puason SS (Athletics) - Another 2019 signing who the Athletics signed for $5.1 million. The only player who got a higher bonus was Jasson Dominguez, who appears later on this list. Unlike Pena, power is probably the weakest part of his game. Robert is a wiry 6′3″ who has a strong arm and fast legs. He should have the defensive tools to stick at short. Like Pena he has yet to accumulate any stats to magnify his tools. He may also start the season in extended spring before starting his career in Low A. The Athletics should not expect him until 2023.

88. Orelvis Martinez SS (Blue Jays) - Another Dominican who signed for a big bonus ($3.5 million) but signing in 2018. The potential five tool prospect may get too big to stay at shortstop, but the power in his bat is suited for third base. He got to play some rookie ball in 2019 and showed good patience at the plate with 14 walks in 40 games for a .352 OBA. Also more than 50 percent of his hits went for extra bases for a .549 slugging percentage. Like Pena and Puason he is still a long way from making his major league debut. He will start the 2021 season in Low A with a major league debut in 2023. The longer he plays the more he will dictate what position is in his future.

87. Brendan McKay LHP (Rays) - Brenadan was the fourth pick in the 2017 draft. At that time his bat was his best tool while the Rays were intrigued by his arm while pitching out of the bullpen in college. They thought they had found a two way player who could hit and pitch like Shohei Ohtani. The surprise was that when he focused on pitching the arm advanced far more than his bat. The lefthanded arm throws a low 90s fastball that can hit the mid 90s. A cutter and his ability to throw strikes may be his best tools. After dominating the minors in 2019 (1.10 ERA) the Rays promoted him to make his major league debut. Major league hitters seemed to feast on his strike throwing ability hitting him at a .268 clip that resulted in a 5.14 ERA. Last year shoulder issues that required surgery in August prevented him from pitching. Despite the surgery he should be able to pitch in 2021 but it may require some time in AAA. The bat may still be used in the majors, but it will be secondary to the arm.

86. Robert Hassell OF (Padres) - Another player who has not been able to show off his tools. The Padres made him the eighth pick in the 2020 draft. He shined for the United States 18 and under national team, selected to the All World team for his .514 average and his .886 slugging average. He hit two homeruns and drove in 14 runs. His performance made him the first high school selection in the draft. A pitcher in high school, his arm is strong enough for right field, but his legs may not be fast enough to play center. This could create some pressure on him to hit for power. His bat will dictate how fast Hassell rises but don’t expect him to be in the Padres outfield until sometime late in 2023.

85. Deivi Garcia RHP (Yankees) - The Yankees are not normally a team to rely on rookie pitchers for their rotation. They normally trade them for veteran prospects. The Yankees signed the Dominican for $200,000 in 2015. With no minor leagues Garcia made his major league debut in 2020. His 4.98 ERA was impacted by the six homeruns he gave up in 34 innings. He stands only 5′9″ so there is some concern about his durability. Despite the height he can still dial up his fastball in the mid-90s. His breaking pitches are top quality making his fastball a better pitch. He did have issues with his command in his 2019 minor league season, but that lack of command did not seem to be a problem with the Yankees. Garcia will be competing for the fifth spot in the rotation in 2021. If he does not make the starting rotation he could still be used out of the bullpen.

84. Luis Matos OF (Giants) - One of the many young outfielders climbing up through the Giants system. Marco Luciano was the big international signing for the Giants in 2018, but Matos was a nice second choice, signing for $725,000. Matos has borderline five tools. In 2019 he showed a sharp bat with a .367 average in the Dominican Summer League. This got him five games in the Rookie League where he hit .438. His bat is more gap oriented now but an increase in power could develop. That maturation could slow him down creating a future for the corner rather than centerfield. Currently his speed resulted in 21 stolen bases, but number should lesson as he matures. Matos should be able to start the 2021 season in Low A, but he is still a couple years away from joining the Giants outfield.

83. Garrett Crochet LHP (White Sox) - Garrett was a first round pick of the White Sox in 2020. The talented arm was too strong to hold him back and he made his major league debut in September. He did not give up a run in his six innings of work. He also had one post season appearance, striking out both hitters he faced. Pitching out of the bullpen Crochet consistently hit triple digits with his fastball. The lefthander also has a decent slider and change to be used in the rotation. He was a starting pitcher for Tennessee in college. At 6′6″ he pitches downhill. He could probably fit in the White Sox bullpen in 2021 but they may start him in AAA to see how he might fit as a starter. It all depends on the White Sox greatest need in the playoff run.

82. Brendan Rodgers (SS) Rockies - The Rockies have traded Nolan Arenado. Next on their list may be Trevor Story. That will create an opening for Rodgers, who was destined for second base until then. Rodgers was a first round pick of the Rockies in 2015. Injuries have prevented him from an extended major league career. In 2019 a shoulder injury limited him to 25 games. Injuries limited him to just seven games in 2020. His major league average hangs at a low .196, but the Rockies have seen double digit power in the minor leagues. In 2019 he hit .350 with 9 homeruns in just 37 minor league games. That led to his abbreviated major league promotion. The tools are there for him to be a solid major league shortstop with 20 plus homerun power. He may have to start the 2021 season as the Rockies second baseman, until Story is traded.

81. George Kirby RHP (Mariners) - Kirby was the Mariners first round pick in 2019. At 6′4″ he has the frame to be a dominant starting pitcher. The fastball sits in the mid-90s but can creep higher. He has two breaking pitches and a change. All his pitches are thrown for excellent command. In his 2019 minor league debut he showed his command with a 0/25 walk to whiff ratio in 23 innings. Having the ball consistently cross the plate could be a weakness, allowing hitters to whack him around for a .270 average. If he can change his command to hitting the corners and throwing his pitches out of the strike zone to get hitters chasing he could lower that average. This could increase his path to the Mariners rotation. If he can reach AA in 2021 the Mariners could have him in their rotation by 2022.

Top Prospects from Mexico

Saturday, February 6th, 2021

With the Series del Caribe being played in Mexico it is time for myworld to take a look at the top prospects from there hoping to sniff the major leagues. Mexico has not had a smooth working relationship with major league baseball as far as the signing of their players. The big disagreement is the percentage of the bonus money that major league teams pay to the prospect that goes to the Mexican team that holds the right to that player. It would be equivalent to a Dominican buscone taking a 50 to 75 percent cut of the prospects bonus. That may be why the top prospect list is not brimming with multi tooled athletes.

Those players who made the list last year that got a major league opportunity include Alejandro Kirk, Jose Urquidy and Isaac Paredes, the second, third and fourth top prospects from the list. The top prospect Andres Munoz missed all of 2020 because of an injury. Victor Gonzalez and Ramon Urias also made their professional debuts, though with the shortened season. The shortened season allowed many to keep their rookie status and reappear on this list.

Below are our top ten prospects from Mexico.

1. Andres Munoz RHP (Mariners) - The only change for Munoz is he went from the Padres to the Mariners. The Padres had paid a $700,000 bonus in 2015 to sign Munoz. They then included him in a trade with the Mariners for Austin Nola. Unlike many Mexican pitches who rely on guile and breaking pitchers to get hitters out, Munoz has a mean fastball that can touch triple digits. Unfortunately, his 2020 season was eliminated because of Tommy John surgery. He is being groomed to be a closer so his fastball/slider combination is all he needs to generate swings and misses. The Mariners would like to see him master getting the ball over the plate a little more. It would take some rehab in the minors before Munoz is ready, sometime by the middle of the season. Besides his lack of control, his injury history has fated his career to the bullpen. Staying healthy and finding the plate more will determine his path to major league success.

2. Isaac Paredes 2B/3B (Tigers) - The Cubs signed Paredes for $500,000 in 2015. He was one of the prospects the Tigers got for trading Justin Wilson and Alex Avilla to the Cubs. His career started out as a shortstop, but a pudgy build meant a lack of range, forcing a move to third base. Because he does not have the big time power that teams look for in third baseman and the Tigers want to leave room for Jeimer Candelario, they may shift him over to second base. Isaac makes good contact and shows enough patience to take a walk. Hitting around .280 to .290 with double digit homers that will fall shy of 20 are numbers you can expect from him. That would make him a decent offensive second baseman that could fall just short of being a solid defensive player. He could make the Tigers starting lineup in 2021 as their second baseman next year.

3. Victor Gonzalez LHP (Dodgers) - The Dodgers signed Victor when they went to Mexico City in 2012 to look at Yasiel Puig. They signed Puig but also a number of other players from Mexico, including Julio Urias. Victor is a 6′0″ lefthander that throws hard, with his fastball reaching the upper 90s on the radar gun. Tommy John surgery virtually eliminated his 2017 and 2018 seasons. He finally made his major league debut in 2020 and pitched so effectively the Dodgers included him on their playoff roster. He got into 15 games during the regular season, finishing with a 1.33 ERA with a 2/23 walk to whiff ratio in 20 innings. For the playoffs he got into 8 games and limited the opposition to just two runs for a 2.70 ERA. Victor has a fastball/slider combination and can use a change as an offspeed pitch, but it is fringe average at this point. He should be in the Dodgers bullpen in 2021.

4. Alejandro Kirk C (Blue Jays) - Kirk was signed in 2016. He is a bit on the pudgy side, listed at 5′8″ and 265 pounds. When he is running the bases his body bounces like jello. The one thing Kirk can do is hit. He has a two year minor league career average of .315 with a .418 OBA. Staying healthy has proved to be a challenge, limiting him to 52 and 98 games the last two years. That will continue if he fails to get his body in shape. Last year he made his major league debut and came out strong in his 9 games, hitting .375 with one homerun. In the minors he has walked more than he has struck out (89/60). On defense he has a good arm, but needs to work on some of the other aspects of the game before he can be called a solid major league catcher. Other than possibly first base, which at 5′8″ is not ideal, Kirk will have to make the majors as either a DH or catcher. Based on his success, he should get another opportunity to play for the Rangers in 2021.

5. Tirso Orenelas OF (Padres) - The Padres shelled out $1.5 million in 2017 to sign Tirso. At 6′3″ he has the build that would predict power to be in his future. A lack of speed will limit him to a corner outfield. The arm is strong enough he could play right. The power has not shown itself in games in the minor leagues. In 2019 he had a particularly horrendous year, slugging just .279 with a .213 batting average. In his previous two seasons he had gotten his slugging average close to .400. The absence of a 2020 minor league season is not something Tirso wanted for his development. He may have to return to A ball to get back that confidence that he can hit. Tirso could still be a couple years away from seeing the Padres.

6. Luis Gonzalez OF (White Sox) - It is at this point that my knowledge of the players gets a little more spotty. Luis was drafted by the White Sox in the third round of the 2017 draft, but he was born in Mexico. He attended high school in Arizona and played college ball at New Mexico. He doesn’t carry an array of great tools, but he does have some skills that could get him to the major leagues as a fourth outfielder. The power is lacking but the arm is strong enough for him to shine in right field. He has enough speed where he could play centerfield in a pinch. His career minor league average is .269. It was enough for the White Sox to give him three games in the major leagues where he got one official at bat. He struck out. Luis lacks the tools to be a starting outfielder on a playoff caliber team, but he can still fill a useful role as a fourth outfielder. He hopes to get a few more at bats in 2021 to amend for his one strikeout performance in the major leagues last year.

7. Gerrado Carrillo RHP (Dodgers) - Carrillo was signed by the Dodgers in 2016 for $75,000. The righthander is listed at 5′10 and 150 pounds. Even with that skinny frame his fastball sits in the mid-90s and even touches the three digits. If he can pack on more pounds that could provide another level of improvement to the fastball. He has two breaking pitches (slider and curve) that are good enough to put him in a rotation once he enhances his change. The Dodgers have used him in the rotation, but his best fit may be in the bullpen. The 2019 season was a disappointing year when he got hit at a .263 clip for a 5.44 ERA. The previous year opponents could only hit him at a .192 clip, putting his ERA at 1.50. Gerrado will probably start the season in A ball and depending on his development will reach the Dodgers sometime towards the end of the 2022 season.

8. Efrain Contreras RHP (Padres) - Efrain is another 5′10″ righthander, but he weighs 210 pounds. The Padres signed him in 2017 for $50,000. He sits in the mid-90s with his fastball but despite the meatier build his fastball peaks at 97/98. There is not a lot of projection for more velocity in the fastball. The curveball is his best pitch. That leads to a high number of strikeouts at the lower levels (121 in 109 innings). As he rises up the minor league ladder those hitters who can’t hit breaking pitches are often weeded out from the minor leagues and it becomes harder to fool hitters with curve balls alone. If Efrain can spot his pitches well he could end up in the back of a rotation or as a set up reliever. Expect him to be with the Padres sometime late in the 2022 season.

9. Luis Verdugo SS/3B (Cubs) - The Cubs paid the Mexico City Red Devils $1.2 million for Luis. He is expected to outgrow shortstop and move to third base. The bat could be his best tool. In 2019 in rookie ball he hit .305 with a .447 slugging percentage. More will be known about him as he rises to the full season levels in 2021. His body should develop more muscle to increase his power, but he also needs to adapt to better pitching. The power is expected to develop for him to start at third. He could also play in a utility role. He is still a long ways away from making a contribution in the major leagues. Expect that to happen sometime in 2023.

10. Manuel Rodriguez RHP (Cubs) - Manny made our list last year. Like many pitchers out of Mexico he lacks the ideal height that major league teams are looking for from their righthanders. He stands at 5′11″. He was signed for $400,000 in 2016. His fastball can hit the lower levels of the high 90s, but normally sits in the mid-90s. His curve has enough downward break that it can get its share of swings and misses. The Cubs are high enough on him that they added him to the 40 man roster in 2020. When the Cubs signed him he was a closer for Yucatan. They have used him strictly in the bullpen, but normally not as their closer. He needs to improve on his command, averaging near 5 walks per year in his minor league career. Last year he got the mark down to 3.2, so that is a level of improvement. Manuel should pitch in AA next year and if he pitches well could see the Cubs by the end of the year.

Credit Padres Acquisition of Kim to Park

Wednesday, January 6th, 2021

Myworld did not realize the Padres have legendary Korean pitcher Park Chan-Ho as an advisor for their team. He participated in the negotiations for the Padres in their acquisition of Kim Ha-Seong. That had to make the Padres the favorite to sign Kim, no matter how many dinners Ryu Hyun-jin bought Kim to try to convince him to play for Toronto.

Park is a legend in Korea. He pitched for the Padres in 2005 and 2006. His 124 wins in the major leagues are still the most for any Asian born pitcher. He first signed with the Los Angeles Dodgers in 1994 before ever playing in the Korean professional league. Once his major league career ended he pitched two years in Japan with the Orix Buffaloes and finally made his Korean debut in 2011, pitching one year for the Hanwha Eagles. After his one year with Hanwha he retired from baseball in 2012.

The contract for Kim does not allow the Padres to send him to the minor leagues without his consent for the 2023, 2024 and 2025 seasons.

Padres and Heroes Exchange Late Christmas Present

Friday, January 1st, 2021

The Kiwoom Heroes of the Korean Baseball Organization posted Ha-Seong Kim to allow major league baseball teams to negotiate a contract. The San Diego Padres won out, signing Kim to a four year $28 million contract. A fifth year mutual option could up that total to $39 million. The Padres get a talented player who could fill a valuable utility role in their playoff hopes. The Heroes get a $5.25 million posting fee to scout for another Kim or sign a top foreign player to a contract.

For those who follow the KBO, Kim is the player who replaced Jung-Ho Kang at shortstop after Kang signed with the Pirates. The deal worked out well for the Pirates for two years until drunken driving issues ruined his career. The Heroes were able to replace Kang with Kim and as a 20 year old shortstop he had a pretty good season (.290, 19, 73).

Next year the Heroes will replace Kim at shortstop with another Kim, Hye-Sung Kim. The 21 year old Hye-Sung played in a utility role last year for the Heroes, hitting .285 with seven homeruns and 61 RBIs. This is his fourth year in the KBO and it was about time the Heroes gave him a starting spot. The Heroes lose some power with the loss of Ha-Seong, but they hope to make up for that by investing the $5 million for a top foreign contract.

The Padres infield appears to be crowded with Manny Machado at third, Fernando Tatis Jr. at short, Jake Cronenworth at second and Eric Hosmer at first. In a 162 game season injuries happen and players need rest so Kim should be able to play in more than 120 games. There is also talk of using either Kim or Cronenworth in the outfield. Cronenworth also played a lot of first base when Hosmer got injured so he could possibly be tried out in the outfield and used at first base, allowing Kim to play second.

The Padres saw what the Dodgers did with their roster, using a couple players to fill in at multiple positions to either replace an injured player or give regular rest to their regulars to keep them fresh. The Padres could have the same plan for either Kim or Cronenworth, or possibly both. Spring training will ultimately define both players roles for the 2021 season.

Top Right Handed Pitching Prospects

Thursday, December 24th, 2020

Below are the top right handed pitching prospects. Because of five man rotations myworld has decided to list our top 20.

1. Casey Mize (Tigers) - Not a lot of first picks in the draft are the best prospects once they test the minor leagues. Mize was the first player selected in 2018 after starring at Auburn. The 2019 season was his only full minor league season where he could eat up innings. In 21 starts he chewed up 109 innings. That appeared to be good enough for him to make his major league debut in 2020, starting seven games while piecing together 28 innings. It was a struggle. He gave up seven homeruns, the same number he gave up in the minor leagues in almost 100 more innings. Major league hitters raked him for a .252 average, 43 points higher than his career minor league average. His best pitch may be his splitter, but he also throws a mid 90s fastball with a mid-80s slider. The splitter in the mid-80s can act as his off speed pitch. The Tigers could start his 2021 season in AAA then call him up after he achieves some success there. He needs a confidence booster after being mauled in 2020.

2. Nate Pearson (Blue Jays) - The 2017 pick is one of the hardest throwers in baseball. His fastball can dart across the plate at 102 miles per hour. The secondary pitches, especially the slider will keep him in the rotation. His command could probably use a little more enhancement, especially in the major leagues. Nate made his major league debut in 2020, walking 13 batters in 18 innings. He also let five balls leave the yard. He pitched much better in 2019 pitching at three different minor league levels. At 6′6 inches his pitches come right at you. Minor leaguers hit just .173 againt him. Like Casey Mize, he could start the 2021 season in AAA, then get called up once he achieves some success and gets his confidence back. A good spring could see him start his season with Toronto.

3. Sixto Sanchez (Marlins) - Sixto may have pitched the Marlins to the 2020 playoffs. He was originally signed by the Phillies for the paltry sum of $35,000 back in 2015 out of the Dominican Republic. The Phillies included him in a trade for J.T. Realmuto. Ironic that the rebuilding Marlins saw the playoffs before the Phillies. Standing at just 6′0 usually does not spell success for a right handed starter. Sixto proved to be an exception, like his native countryman Pedro Martinez. Sixto slings his fastball in the high 90s and occasionally clips the three digit territory. His change is also a quality pitch and the slider acts as a third pitch enough to allow him to survive in the rotation. He made his major league debut last year and started seven games, finishing with a 3.46 ERA. Without that contribution the Marlins would not have made the playoffs. For a pitcher with his velocity he doesn’t strike out a lot of batters, but they make enough soft contact for Sixto to achieve success. He should start the 2021 season in the Marlins rotation.

4. Spencer Howard (Phillies) - This 2017 second round pick also made his major league debut in 2020. Like Mize and Pearson above him he struggled, with major leaguers hitting him at a .300 clip, resulting in a 5.92 ERA in six starts. In the minors in 2019 Spencer limited the opposition to just a .173 average. His fastball is explosive, hitting the mid-90s consistently and reaching the high 90s. It has enough movement that he gets a lot of swings and misses. His secondary breaking pitches (slider and curve) are a tick above average to allow him to survive in the rotation, but his change has turned into an above average pitch. His command can get off kilter but with a little more experience he could become the ace of the Phillies rotation. It would not hurt to start his 2021 season in AAA with a callup a little later in the season. The Phillies keep on acquiring veteran players, trading top prospects to achieve their goal. It could be a top prospect like Howard that could finally get the Phillies into the playoffs.

5. Forrest Whitley (Astros) - The 6′7″ first round pick in 2016 may have the best stuff of the pitchers on this list. Staying healthy and finding the strike zone have always been a challenge. He also missed 50 games for violating the minor league drug policy. In 2019 shoulder problems left his delivery out of whack and he finished with a 7.99 ERA in just 60 innings, walking 44 batters. In his four seasons he has yet to surpass 100 innings pitched. The fastball can travel across the plate in the mid-90s and a quality slider and change feed off the fastball to make him difficult to hit, if he can find the plate. If his command stays inconsistent he could always turn into a closer, but he has too many quality pitches not to keep in the rotation. Expect him to start the 2021 season in AAA, where he finished with a 12.21 ERA in 2019 in five starts.

6. Michael Kopech (White Sox) - The 2014 first round pick opted out of the 2020 season. This after missing all of the 2019 season because of Tommy John surgery. Michael seemed to have announced his arrival after being able to find the plate in four major league starts in 2018, but his elbow did not allow him to finish the season. His fastball cuts across the plate in the triple digits, even hitting 105 in one game. His slider has plus quality, but finding a third pitch and the plate set him back. It will be interesting to see if he can find the plate after his two year absence. The White Sox made the playoffs last year without him. If he could fill the White Sox rotation in 2021 it would be an asset to repeating a playoff run in 2021.

7. Grayson Rodriguez (Orioles) - The Orioles 2018 first round pick stands at a sturdy 6′5. He pitched out of Texas. The Orioles hope he can mimic a couple Texas icons in Roger Clemons and Nolan Ryan. With a mid-90s fastball and a quality slider, he gathers up the swings and misses in the minor leagues. In 20 starts in Low A he held opponents to a .171 average with 129 whiffs in 94 innings. He has enough command of his four pitches that should allow him to be the ace of the Orioles rotation in a couple years. For the 2021 season he will probably spend most of it in AA, not seeing the major leagues until sometime during the middle of the 2022 season.

8. Luis Patino (Padres) - The Padres signed the 6′1″ righthander for just $130,000 out of Colombia back in 2016. Despite his lack of height he has built up enough bulk to reach the mid 90s with his fastball, often lighting up the radar in the high 90s. He also has a quality slider that elicits swings and misses. In his three minor league seasons he has never had an ERA above 2.57 and he has limited opponents to a .208 average. He gets lots of swings and misses and limits balls from traveling over the fence, giving up just seven taters in 234 innings. Luis made his major league debut in 2020 and struggled with his command, walking 14 in 17 innings. Opponents hit him at a .257 clip leaving his ERA at an elevated 5.19. This will probably result him starting the 2021 season in AAA and waiting until he achieves some success there before being promoted to the Padres.

9. Matt Manning (Tigers) - The first round 2016 pick was drafted out of high school so he is taking a more patient rise up the minor league ladder than Mize. Manning is one year younger than Mize and after achieving success in AA in 2019 (2.56 ERA) he should be joining Mize in the rotation sometime in 2021. He has a nice 6′6 frame that gives him challenges finding a consistent release point, but his control improved in 2019. He is the son of Rich Manning, who played in the NBA, a sport Matt played while in high school. The fastball sits at the lower edges of the mid-90s, but it is probably his second best pitch, with a curveball that dives to the ground and gets awkward swings and misses. An improved change in 2019 gives him the requisite three pitches to survive in the starting rotation. He will probably start the 2019 season in AAA and at some point may join Mize and Tarik Skubal to make an awesome front three for the rotation.

10. Max Meyer (Marlins) - Max was the third player selected in the 2020 draft. He pitched in relief early in his career with Minnesota but moved to the starting rotation midway through his sophomore year. At 6′0″ he does not carry the height that you like to see in right handed pitchers. His best pitch may be his slider, and when combined with his mid-90s fastball that touched triple digits, it will garner lots of swings and misses. His change shows flashes of brilliance, which should be enough for him to stick in the rotation. The 2021 season will be his first in the minor leagues, but he should rise up quickly. If he has success and the Marlins are making another playoff run do not be surprised if they don’t use him in relief to begin his major league career, with a later transition to the starting rotation.

11. Logan Gilbert (Mariners) - The 2018 first round pick is another giant, who stands at 6′6″. The fastball crosses the plate in the mid-90s and his breaking pitches and change show enough quality that will allow him to stick in the rotation. His pitches are enhanced by his ability to find the strike zone consistently, something not common among pitchers his height. Logan has only one minor league season under his built, seeing three levels in 2019. He finished in AA with a 2.13 ERA putting together 26 starts and 135 innings. Opponents hit him at a .198 clip, including a .194 average in 9 AA starts. This should make him major league ready sometime during the mid-season of 2021 after starting the year in AAA.

12. Ian Anderson (Braves) - The 2016 first round pick can hit the mid-90s with his fastball. Hitters can have a difficult time getting elevation on the pitch because of its downward spike as it travels across the plate. He mixes in a curve and a change that keeps hitters off balance. In his first three years he had only allowed three homeruns in 243 innings. In 2019 he gave up an uncharacteristic 13 homeruns in just 135 innings. The 2020 season saw him make his major league debut where he baffled major league hitters to a .172 average and a 1.95 ERA in six starts. It will be interesting if he can replicate that success in 2021. Unless he bombs during spring training he should start the 2021 season in the Braves rotation.

13. Emerson Hancock (Mariners) - The second 2020 draft pick to appear on this list and the sixth player selected in the draft. The 6′4″ righthander can reach the high 90s with his fastball, but sits in the mid-90s. He complements his fastball with two quality breaking pitches (slider and curve) and a quality change. All of those pitches are enhanced by his above average command. With no minor league experience he should begin the 2021 season in A ball and could rise quickly with some success. Mariner fans should not expect to see him until late in the 2022 season.

14. Dane Dunning (Rangers) - The Nationals first round pick in 2016 is on his third team. The Nationals traded him to the White Sox with two other pitchers (Lucas Giolito and Reynaldo Lopez) for Adam Eaton. The White Sox traded Dunning to the Rangers after the 2020 season to get a veteran pitcher for the 2021 season. Dunning missed all of the 2019 season after Tommy John surgery but had progressed enough that the White Sox put him in their rotation for the 2020 season seven times. He had a 3.97 ERA and limited the opposition to a .197 average. Lynn in 13 starts for the Rangers carried a 3.32 ERA. Lynn only has one more year in his contract before becoming a free agent while Dunning will be controlled by the Rangers for at least five more years. Dunning should start the season in the Rangers rotation in 2021.

15. Triston McKenzie (Indians) - The Indians supplemental first round pick in 2015 had surprising success in the Indians rotation last year, despite being limited to just 90 innings his last two years because of injuries. He did not pitch at all in 2019 because of back issues. The lanky 6′5″ righthander spun together a 3.24 ERA in six starts and 33 innings in the major leagues. Major league hitters hit only .179 against him. At 23 years of age he should gain more weight on his 165 pound frame. This should add some velocity to his low 90s fastball that can reach the mid-90s. He has a quality curveball to go with a slider and change that keeps hitters off balance. It will be interesting to see if he can replicate his success in 2021. The Indians will start him in the rotation in 2021 and whether he stays there will be dictated by his success.

16. Edward Cabrera (Marlins) - The Marlins signed the Dominican in 2015 for the bargain price of $100,000. He has journeyed through the minor leagues impressing hitters with a mid-90s fastball that touches triple digits. At 6′5″ and 217 pounds his frame carries intimidation. His secondary pitches could use some improvement. The slider has enough downward bite to get hitters to beat the ball to the ground and there is enough separation of his change compared to his fastball to get swings and misses. The lack of quality secondary pitches and inconsistent command could move him to the bullpen. His 2019 season was a breakout year with a 2.23 ERA and .190 opposition average, both much better than his previous years. Edward could start the 2021 season in AAA with a possible promotion to the Marlins if he achieves success, or a propensity to pitch out of the bullpen.

17. Jordan Balazovic (Twins) - The Canadian was not drafted until the fifth round of the 2016 draft. He has sprouted to 6′5″ and packed on 45 additional pounds to get his fastball consistently in the mid-90s. The secondary pitches (slider and change) are commendable pitches that could see him stick in the rotation, but his skills seem to fit better in the bullpen. Jordan has no trouble finding the plate, which should help him stay in the rotation. He has made a slow trek through the minors, finally reaching full season ball in 2019, reaching High A. He will probably start the 2021 season in AA with a Twins appearance sometime in 2022.

18. Hunter Greene (Reds) - It has been a long, slow trek for the player picked second in the 2017 draft. The fastball was triple digit quality but he failed to find the plate. His first year he finished with a 12.46 ERA in three starts covering 4 innings. That improved to 4.48 in 2018. Tommy John surgery forced him to miss the 2019 season. It will be interesting if he can sustain his three digit heat into the 2021 season. His secondary pitches (slider and change) could allow him to survive in the rotation. His surgery and his premier fastball could move him into the bullpen. He finished his 2018 season in Low A. It will not be until late in the 2022 season before the Reds see him in their rotation.

19. Shane Baz (Rays) - The Rays do a good job of developing starting pitchers. Shane was a first round pick of the Pirates in 2017. The Rays stole him, Tyler Glasnow and Austin Meadows from the Pirates for Chris Archer. If Baz makes the Rays it will be one of the biggest swindles in baseball. Baz has a fastball that lights the radar gun in the triple digits, sitting in the mid-90s. His inability to find the plate will make it difficult for him to stay in the rotation. He also lacks a quality third pitch, showing a fastball/slider combination with a pedestrian change. Shane has yet to check in at the 100 inning level in any of his three minor league seasons. The 2021 season could see him start it in AA. Rays fans will have to wait until at least 2022 before they see him in the bullpen, or 2023 before he hits the rotation.

20. Jackson Kowar (Royals) - Kowar pitched with Brady Singer at Florida. The Royals made Singer their first pick and Kowar became pick 1A as he was drafted as a supplemental first round pick. He hopes to join Singer in the Royals rotation in 2021. His fastball sits at the lower edges of the mid-90s, but it is has change that complements the fastball that makes him a quality pitcher. His curveball has decent enough action to put him in the middle of the Royals rotation. He finished the 2019 season in AA, but was pretty hittable at that level, the opposition teeing off for a .254 average. His control is good and he gets about one whiff per inning with his fastball/change combination. Jackson should start the 2021 season in AA and could join Singer in the rotation late in 2021 or sometime in 2022.

Top Lefthanded Pitching Prospects

Sunday, December 20th, 2020

Lefthanded pitchers are a bit different than righthanders. They tend to throw with less velocity but have more movement on their pitches. They also have to face a batting order that traditionally has more right handed hitters than left handed. But lefthanded pitchers are more valued because there are less of them, and those few are needed to retire some of the more powerful lefthanded bats. Below are the top left handed pitching prospects, some of whom will ultimately end up as relievers. Lefthanders may be one of the more valuable commodities in baseball.

1. MacKenzie Gore (Padres) - The third pick in the 2017 draft may be considered the top pitching prospect in baseball. Others who have laid that claim but with little success include Archie Bradley and Mark Prior. The Padres hope Gore will have a better fate. He has four quality pitches, which is something that can not be said about most people on this list. A fastball, curveball, slider and change. The fastball slices through the plate with readings between the low to mid 90s, but it carries a lot of dart and dash. The slider is probably his best strikeout pitch. There are no issues with command of his four pitches. In 2018 when he experienced blister problems his ERA stood ugly at 4.45. When healthy in 2017 and 2019 his ERAs were an impeccable 1.27 and 1.69. Opponents have hit less than .200 in both years in which he was healthy. Myworld would not be surprised if with a good spring he is with the Padres in 2021, though mid season would be the best bet.

2. A.J. Puk (Athletics) - Injuries have prevented him from making a major league impact. The 2016 first round pick got some major league time in relief in 2019, putting together an impressive 3.18 ERA. He was ticketed for the starting rotation in 2020 but shoulder issues ended his season. Puk had Tommy John surgery that prevented him from pitching in 2018, so injuries have been an issue. At 6′7″ he does not have the same reach as Randy Johnson, but his fastball travels as fast, hitting the high 90s and clipping three digits pretty consistently. He also has more command than Randy, but the Athletics would like to see a little improvement in that area. His slider is an above average pitch but his change is average. It may be best that he abandon his curve. He is supposed to be healthy to start the 2021 season and is slotted to fit in a rotation spot. Whether he can stay healthy is another issue.

3. Brailyn Marquez (Cubs) - The 6′4 inch Dominican lefthander signed for only $600,000 in 2015. That was still the highest international signing for a pitcher that year. At 16 years of age he was already hitting the low 90s with his fastball. Now he probably has the highest readings of any minor league lefthander in baseball, hitting triple digits consistently. He made one appearance in 2020 with the Cubs and only retired two batters, walking three and giving up two hits resulting in a 67.50 ERA. He should get another opportunity at major league hitters to lower that ERA. His other pitches do not have the quality as his fastball, with his slider and change at just average. Command has also been an issue, with a little less than one walk every two innings pitched in 2019. If he can enhance his slider and change he could become a number one starter in the major leagues. If not, there is an opportunity to fill a closer role. The 2021 season should see the Cubs give him opportunities to fill their major league rotation.

4. Tarik Skubal (Tigers) - The Tigers scooped up Tarik in the ninth round of the 2018 draft. He was a promising pitcher out of Seattle University who had missed a season because of Tommy John surgery. He has been dominant in his two minor league seasons, finishing with a 0.40 ERA his first year and 2.42 ERA his second year in 2019. Opponents hit him at a .195 clip and he struck out 212 hitters in just 145 innings. The Tigers called him up mid season in 2020 and he struggled with a 5.63 ERA, giving up 9 homeruns in just 32 innings. His other numbers were good with a .235 opponent batting average and 37 whiffs in 32 innings. The fastball hits the mid 90s and when combined with a quality slider result in a lot of swings and misses. He still needs to improve his changeup and perhaps abandon his curve to have success in the major leagues. Tarik could start the 2021 season in AAA and then get another mid-season callup. A lot of that will depend on how successful his spring is.

5. Garrett Crochet (White Sox) - The 2020 first round pick of the White Sox was still able to pitch in five major league games, despite not having a minor league season. In those five relief appearances he did not allow a run in six innings and struck out eight, without allowing a walk. He also showed a fastball that hit the high 90s and climbed into the triple digit category. The fastball is his premier pitch, but it will probably hover closer to the mid-90s range if the White Sox use him in a starter capacity. At 6′6″ his long arms can get out of synch at times, leading to struggles with command. While his slider is a quality pitch the change and curve need some work. The White Sox will probably have him start the season as a starter in AA and could call him up before the season expires if he is doing well. Last year was their first playoff appearance in a number of years. They don’t need to wait for Garrett to percolate in the minors accruing service time. If he can help them with their rotation, or even in the bullpen in 2021, they will call him up for the playoff run.

6. Daniel Lynch (Royals) - Daniel was one of three first round pitchers for the Royals in 2018. Brady Singer made the rotation last year. Jackson Kowar could make it in 2021. Lynch needs to eat up more innings before he is ready. Minor injuries limited him to just 96 innings in 2019. The signature pitch for Lynch is his slider. His fastball is in the mid-90s but when he wants to get a strikeout the slider is his go to pitch. The change also has potential to be a quality pitch. Standing at 6′6″ Lynch has an intimidating presence on the mound. The Royals will give him time in AA and after the 2021 season he will join Singer and Kowar in the rotation in 2022.

7. Matthew Liberatore (Cardinals) - Matthew was a first round pick of the Rays in 2016. They used his talented left arm to entice the Cardinals to trade them Jose Martinez and Randy Arozarena. The more heralded Martinez turned into a bust but Arozarena became a homerun machine for the Rays during the playoffs. The Cardinals hope the Rays short term gain will be the Cardinals long term success. The 6′5 lefthander relies more on his breaking pitches to retire hitters. His fastball sits in the low 90s, but can climb to 95, but his curveball drops off the table, resulting in lots of ground outs. Liberatore has only seen two balls leave the park in his 111 innings of minor league work. His change is also a promising pitch, while his slider is still in the work in progress stage and may not surpass his curve. The lost 2020 season will probably delay his major league debut until sometime in 2022. He’ll start 2021 in AA and hope that success will carry him to the major leagues.

8. Asa Lacey (Royals) - The first round pick of the Royals in 2020 stands an impressive 6′4″ and carries 215 pounds. His fastball has climbed to the low and mid 90s and when used against a quality slider leave hitters guessing. He also throws a quality change that keeps hitters off balance. The area he needs to work on is the command of his pitches. Not having a 2020 season did not help with that development. After having three years of pitching success with Texas A&M, it won’t take long for him to reach the major leagues. The Royals may start him at AA and he could join Lynch in the rotation sometime by the middle of the 2022 season.

9. Shane McClanahan (Rays) - The 2018 first round supplemental pick lacks the height of the other players rated ahead of him, standing just 6′1″. Despite lacking the long levers of the taller pitchers, Shane can still sling his fastball across the plate in triple digits. He used that fastball to get himself on the Rays playoff roster, without pitching in a regular major league game. He was used in relief in the playoffs and that may be his ultimate role in the major leagues. He got 22 starts in the minor leagues in 2019, but a lack of control results in a high number of walks. The slider is a quality pitch but the change needs some work to give him the requisite three pitches to make it in the starting rotation. The Rays will send him down to the minors in 2021, perhaps placing him in AA where he struggled to a 8.35 ERA in four starts there last year. To save on innings they may then call up him up for the playoff run to use him out of the bullpen again.

10. Brendan McKay (Rays) - Myworld is not a real fan of this multi disciplined pitcher use at the DH or a position role. It has not really worked for Shohei Ohtani at the major league level and McKay has also struggled with it as well. McKay seemed very hittable in his major league debut in 2019 after dominating in the minors. Opponents hit him at a .268 clip in the majors after being limited to a .178 average in his three years in the minors. While he was mainly a hitter in college who pitched in relief, his hitting of major league pitching has become a challenge. He did not pitch the 2020 season because of shoulder issues that ultimately required surgery. He relies more on the command of his pitches to retire hitters, pinpointing his mid 90s fastball while mixing in a quality cutter. His curve ball and change still need some work to be quality major league pitches. Brendan will probably spend the 2021 season pitching in AAA, rehabbing his shoulder. Rays fans may see him late in the 2021 season, depending on how his rehab process goes.

11. Nick Lodolo (Reds) - Lodolo was a first round pick of the Reds in 2019. He pitched briefly that year, striking out 30 in his 18 innings while not allowing one hitter to reach base via a walk. A towering 6′6″, his fastball stays in the low 90s but can hit the mid 90s. Despite his tall frame, he relies on the command of his pitches to retire hitters. It is possible he relies too much in the strike zone as hitters slapped him around for a .247 average. Further development of his slider and change should allow him to remain in the starting rotation, especially with his capability to move the ball to the corners of the plate. Having pitched in college it should not take him long to be fitted into the Reds rotation. Expect him to start the season in High A and move up quickly as he achieves success, making his major league debut in 2022.

12. D.L. Hall (Orioles) - The 2017 first round pick is one of many quality arms the Orioles are collecting in the minor leagues. The 6′2 lefty packs mid-90s heat to his fastball, but his biggest challenge is finding the plate enough to get called strikes. In 2019 he walked 54 hitters in 81 innings. The wildness may help because when the hitters want to hit they have been limited to .203 and .189 averages the last two years. Hall throws a change and a curve, but those pitches still need some work to become quality offerings. If he fails to develop a third pitch and continues to struggle finding the strike zone he could be moved to the bullpen. Next year Hall will start the season in AA. They may first use him out of the bullpen when they call him up to the major leagues, but they probably will not do that until 2022.

13. Seth Corry (Giants) - Corry drooped to the third round of the 2017 draft for the Giants. He was just a vanilla pitcher until his curveball developed into a plus pitch in 2019, resulting in a breakout year. In 26 starts in 2019 he limited the opposition to a .171 average, resulting in an impressive ERA of 1.76. He saw no game action in 2020. The 2021 season will determine whether he can continue the mastery of the curveball. The fastball sits in the low 90s and can have occasional mid-90s readings. His change has improved enough to be an above average offering. The 2021 season will see him start in AA with a major league debut in 2022.

14. Reid Detmers (Angels) - The Angels have always been hurting for pitching. They drafted Reid in the first round of the 2020 draft to address that need. Detmers got a lot of whiffs pitching for Louisville in college. He relies more on his curve to retire hitters since his fastball travels across the plate at a pedestrian low 90s. Whether that repertoire will work in striking out major league hitters is open to question. While the Angels need help in pitching now, it may take Detmers a couple years to toe the rubber with the Angels. The Angels may leapfrog him to AA to see how he handles the competition.

15. Jay Groome (Red Sox) - The 2016 first round pick has a pretty impressive fastball. Injuries have prevented his rise up the minor league ladder. He missed the entire 2018 season because of Tommy John surgery. He came back to make three rehab starts in shortseason ball in 2019. Besides injuries, finding the plate was also a problem. At 6′6″ with a fastball ticking in the high 90s can be intimidating, especially if it is flying all over the place. His curveball was also rated as the best in the 2016 draft. Enhancing his change would give him the three requisite pitches to make it in the starting rotation. Injuries and struggles with command may leave him in a bullpen role. Expect him to start the 2021 season in AA at best. He has had the entire 2020 season to use as rehab. The Red Sox bullpen was a shambles last year, so using him in the bullpen in 2022 is a possibility before a starting role opens up for him.

Top Right Field Prospects

Friday, December 11th, 2020

These are the players with the strong arms that are not fleet afoot. They also have power bats. In a previous post we did the top left field prospects, whose arms are usually suspect. The throw from right field to third base is the longest in baseball, requiring a strong arm. Next myworld will list our top centerfield prospects. Some players left off the centerfield prospect list could probably make the right field or left field prospect list because the centerfielders tend to be the more athletic of the three positions.

1. Julio Rodriguez (Mariners) - Only 19 years old, the Dominican signed for $1.75 million in 2017. Most five tool players are planted in centerfield. For Julio, he has all five tools, but speed may be his shortcoming. As he matures and gets bigger that speed may drop to average. A strong arm and a power bat makes him a cinch for right field. His bat was only allowed to show itself for one minor league season in the United States, where he hit .326 with 12 homeruns and a .540 slugging percentage. The bulk of those numbers were accrued in the California League where in 17 games he hit .468 with a .738 slugging percentage. He has the potential to be one of the most potent bats in the major leagues in the next couple years. Expect him to play a full season in AA in 2021 with a possible late season major league promotion in 2022. Or he could pull a Juan Soto and hit so impressively in AA that he gets a mid-season promotion.

2. J.J. Bleday (Marlins) - The Marlins 2019 first round pick has a big time power bat. His speed is a tick below average but his arm is strong. Myworld saw him play in the College World Series in 2019, so we could be a bit biased in this ranking. He was the NCAA Division homerun leader in 2019 with 27. He had part of a season in the Florida State League and slugged three more dingers, with a .257 batting average and a disappointing .379 slugging percentage. College players who have played into the World Series come into the minor league season with their energy a bit sapped. His 6′3″ frame is built for power with a lefthanded swing that makes consistent contact. He should rise quickly in Miami, perhaps making his major league debut as early as 2021.

3. Dylan Carlson (Cardinals) - The 2016 first round pick made his major league debut last season. Major league pitching proved to be a bit elusive for him, with a .200 batting average in 35 games and a poor 8/35 walk to whiff ratio. He had a breakout season in 2019 with 26 homeruns and a .542 slugging percentage. Prior to his 2019 season his batting average hovered around the .250 range, but the 2019 season saw it climb to .292, despite his poorer walk to whiff rate. The speed exists to play center, but it is not burner speed and the arm is above average, but it would not rank at the level of Rodriguez. Dylan should be the starting rightfielder for the Cardinals in 2021.

4. Kristian Robinson (Diamondbacks) - The toolsy outfielder from the Bahamas signed for a sweet $2.5 million in 2017. Like Rodriguez, he has all the tools to play center, but his speed lacks the burner quality of most of the top prospects who play that position. His arm has plenty of zip for right. As a 17 year old he was already playing in the United States rookie leagues and hitting .279, showing some pop with his seven homeruns and a .428 slugging percentage. His youth made him a bit overmatched against the top pitchers, which could explain his high 144 whiffs in 126 minor league games. The expectation is that his contact rate will improve as he sees more pitches. Expect to see him reach the major league some time late in the 2022 season.

5. Brandon Marsh (Angels) - This 2016 second round pick has all the quality tools to play centerfield. The Angels appear to have a more talented player at that position in Mike Trout. Perhaps Marsh will force Trout to slide over to right field. So far, Marsh has not shown the power his 6′4″ frame would seem to carry. He did slug .548 in his first season of minor league ball in 2017, but the next two seasons his slugging average dropped to .408. His ability to make contact seemed to improve in 2019. The Angels outfield is crowded, but Marsh should have the ability to squeeze in a role sometime in 2021.

6. Heliot Ramos (Giants) - The 2017 first round pick out of Puerto Rico took a little back step in 2018, struggling with a .245 average with 136 strikeouts in 124 games. He improved on those numbers in 2019, polishing up his prospect luster with a .290 average and raising his slugging average from .396 to .481. Speed will be his weakest tool, but it is more than capable for playing centerfield if the Giants choose to use him there. As he puts on more weight to his 6′0″ frame that speed may decrease. Over the years the Giants outfield has been traditionally weak, ever since the departure of Barry Bonds. Over the last couple years it has strengthened the farm system with Hunter Bishop and Alexander Canario also being considered top level prospects. Ramos should see his tools test major league pitching sometime in 2021.

7. Jesus Sanchez (Marlins) - The 2014 signing out of the Dominican Republic was a bargain for Tampa Bay at $400,000. They eventually traded him to the Marlins for a couple pitchers (Nick Anderson and Trevor Richards). Early in his career he carried the speed to play centerfield. He has added a bit to his 6′3″ frame and now carries about 220 pounds, making right field a better fit for him. With Bleday in right he may have to move to left field. His bat does not carry the explosive power of Bleday and could be a little short for left field. His minor league slugging percentage sits at .459, but that has been inflated by his earlier years when his numbers were much higher. Jesus made his major league debut last year and could only muster one hit, a double in 25 at bats. The 2021 season should see him start the season in AAA with another promotion from the Marlins if his minor league numbers warrant it.

8. Robert Hassell (Padres) - Not a lot is known about the 2020 first round pick. He played for the United States 18 and under team and was selected to the All World team after hitting .514 with a .886 slugging percentage created from 5 doubles and two homeruns. He also drove in 14 runs. That motivated the Padres to make him the first high school player selected in the 2020 draft. His arm is not a cannon and his speed is a tick above average. His best tool could be his ability to hit for average. It will be a couple years before the Padres see him patrolling their outfield grass.

9. Brennen Davis (Cubs) - The 2018 second round pick has the speed to cover centerfield. As his 6′4″ frame fills out his speed should reduce, making him more adaptable for right field. His power is beginning to develop. In his first year of minor league ball he failed to send a ball over the fence in 57 at bats, slugging a weak .333. The next year eight balls left the yard and his slugging average elevated to .525. He was limited to 50 games that year because of injuries. Despite his above average speed it has not translated to stolen bases. It will still be a couple more years before he sees the Cubs outfield. The 2019 injury only allowed him to play 50 games in A ball. He will probably start the 2021 season in A ball with a quick promotion if the season warrants it.

10. Austin Hendrick (Reds) - Austin was the 12th pick in the 2020 draft. The lefthanded bat carries impressive power with speed just above average that would allow him to survive in center. There is a question on his ability to make contact, but since there was no 2020 minor league season it is unclear how he will adapt to professional pitching. He struggled a bit with Team USA when facing quality pitching. Reds fans will probably have to wait until 2024 before they see him roam their outfield.